Eagle Materials Stock Price Patterns
| EXP Stock | USD 203.81 8.16 3.85% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.6455 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.2246 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.5808 | Wall Street Target Price 229.1111 |
Using Eagle Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eagle Materials from the perspective of Eagle Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Eagle Materials using Eagle Materials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Eagle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Eagle Materials' stock price.
Eagle Materials Short Interest
An investor who is long Eagle Materials may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Eagle Materials and may potentially protect profits, hedge Eagle Materials with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 221.2828 | Short Percent 0.0592 | Short Ratio 3 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 219.2452 |
Eagle Materials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Eagle Materials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Eagle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Eagle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Eagle Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Eagle Materials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Eagle Materials.
Eagle Materials Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Eagle Materials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Eagle Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Eagle Materials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Eagle Materials stock will not fluctuate a lot when Eagle Materials' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eagle Materials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eagle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eagle Materials after-hype prediction price | USD 203.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Eagle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Eagle Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Eagle Materials trading at USD 203.81, that is roughly USD 0.0535 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Eagle Materials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Eagle Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Eagle Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Materials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eagle Materials After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eagle Materials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eagle Materials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eagle Materials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eagle Materials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eagle Materials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eagle Materials' historical news coverage. Eagle Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 201.79 and 205.77, respectively. We have considered Eagle Materials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eagle Materials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eagle Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eagle Materials Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eagle Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eagle Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eagle Materials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.99 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
203.81 | 203.78 | 0.01 |
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Eagle Materials Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Eagle Materials is traded for 203.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Eagle is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 203.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 59.94%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Eagle Materials is about 69.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 203.84. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Eagle Materials was currently reported as 47.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.51. Eagle Materials recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 27th of February 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Eagle Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eagle Materials Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eagle Materials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eagle Materials' future price movements. Getting to know how Eagle Materials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eagle Materials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGB | Gerdau SA ADR | 0.01 | 5 per month | 1.66 | 0.19 | 3.56 | (2.65) | 11.29 | |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical | (1.01) | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.06 | 4.94 | (3.60) | 9.74 | |
| TX | Ternium SA ADR | 0.84 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.17 | 3.07 | (2.64) | 8.99 | |
| NEU | NewMarket | 12.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.25 | (2.77) | 11.14 | |
| IAG | IAMGold | (1.10) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.24 | 5.49 | (4.94) | 18.37 | |
| ESI | Element Solutions | 1.10 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.08 | 3.96 | (3.60) | 10.60 | |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | 12.25 | 14 per month | 1.12 | 0.12 | 2.69 | (2.53) | 7.97 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 1.88 | 11 per month | 2.09 | 0.27 | 5.44 | (4.01) | 12.33 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | 1.10 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.15 | (2.87) | 11.95 | |
| CMC | Commercial Metals | 1.31 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.18 | 3.71 | (1.90) | 8.69 |
Eagle Materials Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eagle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eagle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eagle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eagle Materials Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eagle Materials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eagle Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eagle Materials based on analysis of Eagle Materials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eagle Materials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eagle Materials's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003758 | 0.004552 | 0.005235 | 0.004973 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.16 | 3.28 | 2.95 | 2.11 |
Pair Trading with Eagle Materials
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eagle Materials position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eagle Materials will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Eagle Stock
Moving against Eagle Stock
| 0.37 | ADVWW | Advantage Solutions | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | GCMGW | GCM Grosvenor | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | MAPSW | WM Technology | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eagle Materials could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eagle Materials when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eagle Materials - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eagle Materials to buy it.
The correlation of Eagle Materials is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eagle Materials moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eagle Materials moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eagle Materials can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Eagle Stock Analysis
When running Eagle Materials' price analysis, check to measure Eagle Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Materials is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.