Iren Stock Price Patterns
| IREN Stock | USD 39.98 3.31 7.65% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.429 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3965 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.26) | Wall Street Target Price 79.3077 |
Using IREN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IREN from the perspective of IREN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IREN using IREN's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IREN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IREN's stock price.
IREN Short Interest
An investor who is long IREN may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IREN and may potentially protect profits, hedge IREN with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.0131 | Short Percent 0.1278 | Short Ratio 0.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 51.5 M | 50 Day MA 46.0809 |
IREN Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IREN's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IREN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IREN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IREN. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IREN's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IREN.
IREN Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
IREN's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IREN stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IREN's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IREN stock will not fluctuate a lot when IREN's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IREN to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IREN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IREN after-hype prediction price | USD 39.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IREN contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IREN will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With IREN trading at USD 39.98, that is roughly USD 0.0275 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IREN's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IREN options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out IREN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IREN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IREN After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IREN at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IREN or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IREN, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IREN Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IREN's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IREN's historical news coverage. IREN's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.92 and 46.86, respectively. We have considered IREN's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IREN is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IREN is based on 3 months time horizon.
IREN Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IREN is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IREN backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IREN, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 6.97 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.98 | 39.89 | 0.23 |
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IREN Hype Timeline
IREN is currently traded for 39.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. IREN is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on IREN is about 3819.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.97. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out IREN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IREN Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IREN's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IREN's future price movements. Getting to know how IREN's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IREN may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NMR | Nomura Holdings ADR | (0.17) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.15 | 2.72 | (2.82) | 9.00 | |
| TW | Tradeweb Markets | 1.81 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.04 | 3.15 | (2.43) | 10.88 | |
| BCH | Banco De Chile | 1.44 | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.12 | 2.72 | (3.49) | 8.66 | |
| CG | Carlyle Group | (4.12) | 8 per month | 2.66 | (0.02) | 3.58 | (3.66) | 13.13 | |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group | (0.12) | 7 per month | 1.14 | 0.09 | 2.46 | (2.39) | 5.63 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.1 | 6 per month | 0.96 | 0.21 | 2.71 | (1.74) | 6.56 | |
| GLXY | Galaxy Digital Holdings | (1.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.69 | (8.28) | 30.35 | |
| HLI | Houlihan Lokey | 0.95 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.93 | (2.55) | 10.42 |
IREN Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IREN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IREN using various technical indicators. When you analyze IREN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IREN Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IREN stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IREN, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IREN based on analysis of IREN hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IREN's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IREN's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Graham Number | 7.91 | 7.03 | Receivables Turnover | 18.05 | 18.95 |
Pair Trading with IREN
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if IREN position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IREN will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to IREN could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace IREN when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back IREN - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling IREN to buy it.
The correlation of IREN is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as IREN moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if IREN moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for IREN can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out IREN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in IREN Stock, please use our How to Invest in IREN guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could IREN diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IREN. Market participants price IREN higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every IREN data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.429 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.59 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate IREN using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating IREN's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause IREN's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IREN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IREN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, IREN's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.