Johns Lyng (Australia) Price Prediction
| JLG Stock | 4.18 0.03 0.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.073 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.23 | Wall Street Target Price 4.9792 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Johns Lyng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Johns Lyng Group from the perspective of Johns Lyng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Johns Lyng to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Johns because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Johns Lyng after-hype prediction price | AUD 4.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Johns |
Johns Lyng After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Johns Lyng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Johns Lyng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Johns Lyng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Johns Lyng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Johns Lyng's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Johns Lyng's historical news coverage. Johns Lyng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.87 and 6.39, respectively. We have considered Johns Lyng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Johns Lyng is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Johns Lyng Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Johns Lyng Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Johns Lyng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Johns Lyng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Johns Lyng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.26 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.18 | 4.13 | 1.20 |
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Johns Lyng Hype Timeline
Johns Lyng Group is currently traded for 4.18on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.82, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Johns is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 63.48%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Johns Lyng is about 2292.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.16. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Johns Lyng was currently reported as 1.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Johns Lyng Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Johns Lyng Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Johns Lyng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Johns Lyng's future price movements. Getting to know how Johns Lyng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Johns Lyng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.11 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.46 | (0.06) | 2.73 | (2.39) | 7.92 | |
| CBAPG | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | (0.57) | 0.42 | (0.38) | 1.03 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | (0.27) | 0.56 | (0.74) | 2.02 | |
| CBAPI | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.34) | 0.55 | (0.49) | 1.80 | |
| CBAPH | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RIO | Rio Tinto | (0.71) | 4 per month | 1.33 | (0.02) | 3.43 | (2.27) | 7.08 |
Johns Lyng Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Johns price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johns using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johns charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Johns Lyng Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Johns Lyng stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Johns Lyng Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johns Lyng based on analysis of Johns Lyng hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Johns Lyng's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Johns Lyng's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Johns Lyng
The number of cover stories for Johns Lyng depends on current market conditions and Johns Lyng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Johns Lyng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Johns Lyng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Johns Lyng Short Properties
Johns Lyng's future price predictability will typically decrease when Johns Lyng's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Johns Lyng Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Johns Lyng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johns Lyng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 277.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.8 M |
Additional Tools for Johns Stock Analysis
When running Johns Lyng's price analysis, check to measure Johns Lyng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johns Lyng is operating at the current time. Most of Johns Lyng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johns Lyng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johns Lyng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johns Lyng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.