Kellogg (Germany) Price Prediction

KEL Stock  EUR 76.64  0.10  0.13%   
The value of RSI of Kellogg's share price is above 70 as of 27th of November 2024. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Kellogg, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kellogg's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kellogg and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kellogg's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kellogg Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kellogg hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kellogg Company from the perspective of Kellogg response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kellogg to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kellogg because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kellogg after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 76.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.0175.5384.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.7977.3377.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.2376.8577.47
Details

Kellogg After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kellogg at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kellogg or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kellogg, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kellogg Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kellogg's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kellogg's historical news coverage. Kellogg's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.11 and 77.17, respectively. We have considered Kellogg's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.64
76.64
After-hype Price
77.17
Upside
Kellogg is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kellogg Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kellogg Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kellogg is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kellogg backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kellogg, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
0.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.64
76.64
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kellogg Hype Timeline

Kellogg Company is now traded for 76.64on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kellogg is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kellogg is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.64. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.96. Kellogg Company last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kellogg Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kellogg's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kellogg's future price movements. Getting to know how Kellogg's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kellogg may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kellogg Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kellogg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kellogg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kellogg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kellogg Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kellogg stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kellogg Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kellogg based on analysis of Kellogg hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kellogg's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kellogg's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kellogg

The number of cover stories for Kellogg depends on current market conditions and Kellogg's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kellogg is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kellogg's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Kellogg Short Properties

Kellogg's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kellogg's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kellogg Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kellogg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kellogg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding341.8 M

Complementary Tools for Kellogg Stock analysis

When running Kellogg's price analysis, check to measure Kellogg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kellogg is operating at the current time. Most of Kellogg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kellogg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kellogg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kellogg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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