Kopin Stock Price Prediction
| KOPN Stock | USD 2.86 0.27 8.63% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 4.6875 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
Using Kopin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kopin from the perspective of Kopin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kopin using Kopin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kopin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kopin's stock price.
Kopin Short Interest
An investor who is long Kopin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kopin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kopin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.1767 | Short Percent 0.089 | Short Ratio 4.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.7 M | 50 Day MA 2.6036 |
Kopin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kopin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kopin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kopin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kopin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kopin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kopin.
Kopin Implied Volatility | 1.5 |
Kopin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kopin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kopin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kopin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kopin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kopin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kopin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kopin after-hype prediction price | USD 2.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kopin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kopin will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0938% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kopin trading at USD 2.86, that is roughly USD 0.002681 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kopin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kopin options at the current volatility level of 1.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Kopin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Kopin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kopin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kopin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kopin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kopin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kopin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kopin's historical news coverage. Kopin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 7.76, respectively. We have considered Kopin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kopin is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kopin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kopin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kopin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kopin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kopin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 4.91 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 22 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.86 | 2.85 | 0.35 |
|
Kopin Hype Timeline
Kopin is now traded for 2.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Kopin is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Kopin is about 1020.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.71. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Kopin had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of July 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Kopin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kopin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kopin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kopin's future price movements. Getting to know how Kopin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kopin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VPG | Vishay Precision Group | (0.72) | 11 per month | 2.99 | 0.08 | 5.08 | (4.79) | 14.95 | |
| AMBQ | Ambiq Micro | (0.10) | 30 per month | 3.75 | 0.02 | 6.03 | (6.56) | 17.30 | |
| WEAV | Weave Communications | (1.00) | 24 per month | 2.88 | (0.01) | 4.59 | (5.26) | 20.60 | |
| NBP | NovaBridge Biosciences | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.25 | (7.51) | 22.59 | |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies | (0.02) | 5 per month | 5.16 | 0.11 | 11.38 | (9.63) | 21.64 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | (2.89) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.28 | (5.36) | 13.98 | |
| BAND | Bandwidth | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.66 | (3.75) | 12.36 | |
| DOMO | Domo Inc | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.02 | (8.19) | 28.62 | |
| DAVA | Endava | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.08 | (4.51) | 34.91 | |
| AIP | Arteris | (0.10) | 31 per month | 4.52 | 0.06 | 7.11 | (5.88) | 43.24 |
Kopin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kopin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kopin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kopin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kopin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kopin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kopin, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kopin based on analysis of Kopin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kopin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kopin's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 118.51 | 137.23 | 157.81 | 108.5 | PTB Ratio | 7.5 | 7.76 | 6.99 | 7.34 |
Pair Trading with Kopin
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kopin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kopin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Kopin Stock
| 0.73 | KAEPY | Kansai Electric Power Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | GPOVF | Grupo Carso SAB Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | KEYS | Keysight Technologies | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kopin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kopin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kopin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kopin to buy it.
The correlation of Kopin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kopin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kopin moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kopin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Kopin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kopin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kopin guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kopin. If investors know Kopin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kopin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Kopin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kopin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kopin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kopin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kopin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kopin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kopin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kopin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kopin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.