Kohls Corp Stock Price Prediction
KSS Stock | USD 13.42 0.22 1.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3398 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3225 | Wall Street Target Price 16.3077 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.2734 |
Using Kohls Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kohls Corp from the perspective of Kohls Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kohls Corp using Kohls Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kohls using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kohls Corp's stock price.
Kohls Corp Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
Kohls Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kohls Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kohls Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kohls Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kohls Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kohls Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kohls because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kohls Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 13.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kohls contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kohls Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Kohls Corp trading at USD 13.42, that is roughly USD 0.007046 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kohls Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kohls Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kohls |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kohls Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kohls Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kohls Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kohls Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kohls Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Kohls Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kohls Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kohls Corp's historical news coverage. Kohls Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.18 and 17.00, respectively. We have considered Kohls Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kohls Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kohls Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kohls Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kohls Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kohls Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kohls Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.39 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.42 | 13.59 | 1.04 |
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Kohls Corp Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Kohls Corp is traded for 13.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Kohls is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Kohls Corp is about 584.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.20. The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.48 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 317 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.86 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Kohls Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kohls Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kohls Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kohls Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Kohls Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kohls Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
JWN | Nordstrom | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 3.49 | (2.21) | 15.26 | |
DDS | Dillards | (5.11) | 12 per month | 1.54 | 0.13 | 4.39 | (3.34) | 14.87 | |
MAKSY | Marks Spencer Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.93 | (3.15) | 15.25 | |
MAKSF | Marks and Spencer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.66 | (8.25) | 17.35 | |
M | Macys Inc | (0.09) | 7 per month | 2.53 | (0.01) | 4.23 | (4.39) | 16.26 | |
DDT | Dillards Capital Trust | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.22 | (0.18) | 0.55 | (0.43) | 1.73 | |
CBD | Companhia Brasileira De | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.42 | 0.18 | 6.56 | (4.97) | 19.48 | |
LRENY | Lojas Renner SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.12 | 6.94 | (6.17) | 19.26 | |
PMDKF | PT Mitra Adiperkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 |
Kohls Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kohls price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kohls using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kohls charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Kohls Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kohls Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kohls Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kohls Corp based on analysis of Kohls Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kohls Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kohls Corp's related companies. 2014 | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.063 | 0.0758 | 0.0261 | 0.0306 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.41 |
Story Coverage note for Kohls Corp
The number of cover stories for Kohls Corp depends on current market conditions and Kohls Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kohls Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kohls Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kohls Corp Short Properties
Kohls Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kohls Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kohls Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kohls Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kohls Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 183 M |
Additional Tools for Kohls Stock Analysis
When running Kohls Corp's price analysis, check to measure Kohls Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kohls Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Kohls Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kohls Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kohls Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kohls Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.