Lithium Americas Corp Stock Price Prediction

LAC Stock  CAD 5.57  0.14  2.58%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Lithium Americas' the stock price is about 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lithium, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lithium Americas' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lithium Americas Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lithium Americas' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.126
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.04)
Wall Street Target Price
13.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
Using Lithium Americas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lithium Americas Corp from the perspective of Lithium Americas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lithium Americas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lithium because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lithium Americas after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 5.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lithium Americas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.244.7810.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.105.1110.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.06-0.06-0.06
Details

Lithium Americas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lithium Americas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lithium Americas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lithium Americas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lithium Americas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lithium Americas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lithium Americas' historical news coverage. Lithium Americas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 11.82, respectively. We have considered Lithium Americas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.57
5.95
After-hype Price
11.82
Upside
Lithium Americas is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lithium Americas Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lithium Americas Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lithium Americas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lithium Americas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lithium Americas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.79 
5.87
  0.38 
  0.47 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.57
5.95
6.82 
1,223  
Notes

Lithium Americas Hype Timeline

Lithium Americas Corp is now traded for 5.57on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. Lithium is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 6.82%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Lithium Americas is about 986.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.04. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Lithium Americas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lithium Americas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lithium Americas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lithium Americas' future price movements. Getting to know how Lithium Americas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lithium Americas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Lithium Americas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lithium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lithium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lithium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lithium Americas Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lithium Americas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lithium Americas Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lithium Americas based on analysis of Lithium Americas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lithium Americas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lithium Americas's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.02010.019
Days Of Inventory On Hand99.81116.36

Story Coverage note for Lithium Americas

The number of cover stories for Lithium Americas depends on current market conditions and Lithium Americas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lithium Americas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lithium Americas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Lithium Americas Short Properties

Lithium Americas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lithium Americas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lithium Americas Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lithium Americas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lithium Americas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding160.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments195.5 M
When determining whether Lithium Americas Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lithium Americas' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lithium Americas Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lithium Americas Corp Stock:
Check out Lithium Americas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lithium Americas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lithium Americas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lithium Americas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.