Lennar (Mexico) Price Prediction

LEN Stock  MXN 3,603  176.10  5.14%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Lennar's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lennar, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lennar's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lennar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lennar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lennar from the perspective of Lennar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lennar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lennar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lennar after-hype prediction price

    
  MXN 3602.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lennar Stock please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9332,9353,963
Details

Lennar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lennar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lennar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lennar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lennar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lennar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lennar's historical news coverage. Lennar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3,601 and 3,604, respectively. We have considered Lennar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3,603
3,603
After-hype Price
3,604
Upside
Lennar is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lennar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lennar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lennar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lennar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lennar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.44
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3,603
3,603
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lennar Hype Timeline

Lennar is now traded for 3,603on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lennar is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lennar is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,603. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lennar has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 155.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 295.36. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2023. Lennar had 51:50 split on the 9th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lennar Stock please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.

Lennar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lennar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lennar's future price movements. Getting to know how Lennar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lennar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Lennar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lennar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lennar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lennar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lennar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lennar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lennar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lennar based on analysis of Lennar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lennar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lennar's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lennar

The number of cover stories for Lennar depends on current market conditions and Lennar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lennar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lennar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lennar Short Properties

Lennar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lennar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lennar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lennar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289.8 M

Additional Tools for Lennar Stock Analysis

When running Lennar's price analysis, check to measure Lennar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennar is operating at the current time. Most of Lennar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.