LH Hotel (Thailand) Price Prediction
| LHHOTEL Stock | THB 13.20 0.20 1.49% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using LH Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LH Hotel Leasehold from the perspective of LH Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LH Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LHHOTEL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LH Hotel after-hype prediction price | THB 13.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LHHOTEL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LH Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LH Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LH Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LH Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LH Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LH Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LH Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LH Hotel's historical news coverage. LH Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.23 and 14.17, respectively. We have considered LH Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LH Hotel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LH Hotel Leasehold is based on 3 months time horizon.
LH Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LH Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LH Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LH Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.20 | 13.20 | 0.00 |
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LH Hotel Hype Timeline
LH Hotel Leasehold is now traded for 13.20on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LHHOTEL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on LH Hotel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.20. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LH Hotel Leasehold last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2022. The entity had 2171:2134 split on the 9th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out LH Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LH Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LH Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LH Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how LH Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LH Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPNREIT | CPN Retail Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.02 | 2.46 | (3.20) | 6.68 | |
| GAHREIT | Grande Hospitality Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.02 | 1.52 | (1.52) | 5.14 | |
| ERW | The Erawan Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.28 | (2.99) | 11.87 | |
| IMPACT | Impact Growth REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.85 | (2.57) | 5.56 |
LH Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LHHOTEL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LHHOTEL using various technical indicators. When you analyze LHHOTEL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LH Hotel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LH Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LH Hotel Leasehold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LH Hotel based on analysis of LH Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LH Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LH Hotel's related companies.
Story Coverage note for LH Hotel
The number of cover stories for LH Hotel depends on current market conditions and LH Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LH Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LH Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LH Hotel Short Properties
LH Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when LH Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LH Hotel Leasehold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LH Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LH Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 537.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in LHHOTEL Stock
LH Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether LHHOTEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LHHOTEL with respect to the benefits of owning LH Hotel security.