Lifeway Foods (Germany) Price Prediction

LWF Stock  EUR 23.80  0.80  3.48%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, The value of RSI of Lifeway Foods' share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lifeway Foods, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lifeway Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lifeway Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lifeway Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lifeway Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lifeway Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifeway Foods from the perspective of Lifeway Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lifeway Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lifeway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lifeway Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 23.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lifeway Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1418.6326.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0724.5529.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2623.4525.64
Details

Lifeway Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lifeway Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifeway Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifeway Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lifeway Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lifeway Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifeway Foods' historical news coverage. Lifeway Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.31 and 28.29, respectively. We have considered Lifeway Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.80
23.80
After-hype Price
28.29
Upside
Lifeway Foods is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifeway Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lifeway Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifeway Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifeway Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifeway Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
4.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.80
23.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lifeway Foods Hype Timeline

Lifeway Foods is now traded for 23.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lifeway is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.59%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lifeway Foods is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.80. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lifeway Foods was now reported as 3.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Lifeway Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.

Lifeway Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lifeway Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifeway Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Lifeway Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifeway Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.43 (4.74) 21.59 
6NMNMI Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.75 (0.03) 2.79 (2.69) 9.64 
39O1Origin Agritech 0.00 0 per month 3.52  0.05  9.64 (5.38) 34.42 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 6.06 (8.57) 52.42 
TLXTalanx AG 0.00 0 per month 1.14 (0.05) 2.67 (1.64) 7.58 
TM9NorAm Drilling AS 0.00 0 per month 4.32 (0.01) 5.56 (6.43) 36.50 
INVNIdentiv 0.00 0 per month 2.57  0.02  5.61 (4.98) 14.01 
IUI1INTUITIVE SURGICAL 0.00 0 per month 1.08  0.08  2.87 (1.96) 10.01 
6HWBANK HANDLOWY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.21 (1.80) 5.39 
VOWVolkswagen AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.12 (2.99) 9.42 

Lifeway Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lifeway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifeway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifeway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lifeway Foods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lifeway Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lifeway Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lifeway Foods based on analysis of Lifeway Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lifeway Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lifeway Foods's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lifeway Foods

The number of cover stories for Lifeway Foods depends on current market conditions and Lifeway Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lifeway Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lifeway Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Lifeway Foods Short Properties

Lifeway Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lifeway Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lifeway Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lifeway Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifeway Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.4 M

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