Marathon Oil (Brazil) Price Prediction
| M1RO34 Stock | BRL 170.15 3.52 2.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Marathon Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Oil from the perspective of Marathon Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marathon Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marathon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marathon Oil after-hype prediction price | BRL 170.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Marathon |
Marathon Oil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marathon Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marathon Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marathon Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marathon Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marathon Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marathon Oil's historical news coverage. Marathon Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 168.09 and 172.21, respectively. We have considered Marathon Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marathon Oil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marathon Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marathon Oil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marathon Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marathon Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
170.15 | 170.15 | 0.00 |
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Marathon Oil Hype Timeline
Marathon Oil is now traded for 170.15on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Marathon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marathon Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 170.15. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marathon Oil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 27.57. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Marathon Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Marathon Stock refer to our How to Trade Marathon Stock guide.Marathon Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marathon Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marathon Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Marathon Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marathon Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMOB3 | Bemobi Mobile Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.62 | (2.58) | 7.74 | |
| MRFG3 | Marfrig Global Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.08 | 4.32 | (3.35) | 12.90 | |
| U1BE34 | Uber Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | (0.02) | 3.73 | (3.23) | 19.08 | |
| TSMC34 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0.06 | 4.36 | (3.99) | 15.95 | |
| N1XP34 | NXP Semiconductors NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.35 | (4.49) | 14.11 | |
| P1YC34 | Paycom Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.13 | 5.29 | (2.64) | 36.37 | |
| MLAS3 | Multilaser Industrial SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.45 | (5.10) | 13.47 | |
| S1PO34 | Spotify Technology SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | 0.18 | 3.11 | (3.56) | 18.04 |
Marathon Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marathon Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marathon Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marathon Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Oil based on analysis of Marathon Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marathon Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marathon Oil's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Marathon Oil
The number of cover stories for Marathon Oil depends on current market conditions and Marathon Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marathon Oil Short Properties
Marathon Oil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marathon Oil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marathon Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marathon Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 743 M |
Complementary Tools for Marathon Stock analysis
When running Marathon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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