Matthews International Stock Price Prediction
| MATW Stock | USD 29.14 0.83 2.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.075 | Wall Street Target Price 41 |
Using Matthews International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matthews International from the perspective of Matthews International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Matthews International using Matthews International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Matthews using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Matthews International's stock price.
Matthews International Short Interest
An investor who is long Matthews International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Matthews International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Matthews International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.2825 | Short Percent 0.0438 | Short Ratio 6.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 839 K | 50 Day MA 28.8062 |
Matthews International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Matthews International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Matthews. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Matthews can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Matthews International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Matthews International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Matthews International.
Matthews International Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Matthews International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Matthews International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Matthews International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Matthews International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Matthews International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Matthews International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Matthews because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Matthews International after-hype prediction price | USD 28.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Matthews contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Matthews International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Matthews International trading at USD 29.14, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Matthews International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Matthews International options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Matthews |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matthews International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matthews International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matthews International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matthews International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Matthews International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matthews International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matthews International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matthews International's historical news coverage. Matthews International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.96 and 32.92, respectively. We have considered Matthews International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matthews International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matthews International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matthews International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Matthews International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matthews International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matthews International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.98 | 0.20 | 2.58 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.14 | 28.94 | 0.69 |
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Matthews International Hype Timeline
Matthews International is now traded for 29.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.58. Matthews is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Matthews International is about 70.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.56. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Matthews International was now reported as 16.46. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.92. Matthews International recorded a loss per share of 1.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of September 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Matthews International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Matthews International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matthews International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matthews International's future price movements. Getting to know how Matthews International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matthews International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPLP-PA | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.07 | (0.27) | 0.38 | (0.29) | 1.48 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.72 | (1.49) | 4.73 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.19 | (2.77) | 12.93 | |
| TRC | Tejon Ranch Co | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.17 | (3.67) | 14.35 | |
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | 1.43 | 6 per month | 3.36 | (0.02) | 6.00 | (3.70) | 29.23 | |
| VMI | Valmont Industries | (3.27) | 12 per month | 1.42 | (0.03) | 2.65 | (2.02) | 11.40 | |
| GFF | Griffon | (1.99) | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.08 | 2.88 | (3.57) | 22.89 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 2.10 | (2.52) | 11.43 | |
| SEB | Seaboard | (46.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.87 | (2.71) | 6.46 |
Matthews International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matthews price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matthews using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matthews charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Matthews International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Matthews International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Matthews International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Matthews International based on analysis of Matthews International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Matthews International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Matthews International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0394 | 0.0238 | 0.0414 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.4 | 0.63 | 0.44 |
Story Coverage note for Matthews International
The number of cover stories for Matthews International depends on current market conditions and Matthews International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Matthews International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Matthews International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Matthews International Short Properties
Matthews International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Matthews International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Matthews International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Matthews International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matthews International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.8 M |
Additional Tools for Matthews Stock Analysis
When running Matthews International's price analysis, check to measure Matthews International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matthews International is operating at the current time. Most of Matthews International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matthews International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matthews International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matthews International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.