MCB Bank (Pakistan) Price Prediction
| MCB Stock | 266.76 0.87 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MCB Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MCB Bank from the perspective of MCB Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MCB Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MCB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MCB Bank after-hype prediction price | PKR 265.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MCB |
MCB Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MCB Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MCB Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MCB Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MCB Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MCB Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MCB Bank's historical news coverage. MCB Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 264.11 and 267.67, respectively. We have considered MCB Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MCB Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MCB Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
MCB Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MCB Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MCB Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MCB Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
266.76 | 265.89 | 0.00 |
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MCB Bank Hype Timeline
MCB Bank is now traded for 266.76on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MCB is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on MCB Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 266.76. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out MCB Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MCB Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MCB Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MCB Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how MCB Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MCB Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NBP | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.08 | 5.34 | (3.38) | 15.75 | |
| MEBL | Meezan Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.04 | 2.70 | (1.49) | 7.58 | |
| BAHL | Bank Al Habib | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.15 | 2.50 | (1.52) | 8.07 | |
| HMB | Habib Metropolitan Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.13 | 2.32 | (1.72) | 6.08 |
MCB Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MCB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MCB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MCB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MCB Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MCB Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MCB Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MCB Bank based on analysis of MCB Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MCB Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MCB Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MCB Bank
The number of cover stories for MCB Bank depends on current market conditions and MCB Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MCB Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MCB Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MCB Bank Short Properties
MCB Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when MCB Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MCB Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MCB Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MCB Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -34.2 B |
Additional Tools for MCB Stock Analysis
When running MCB Bank's price analysis, check to measure MCB Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MCB Bank is operating at the current time. Most of MCB Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MCB Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MCB Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MCB Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.