Mckesson Stock Price Patterns
| MCK Stock | USD 822.00 29.12 3.42% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.77 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 10.0656 | EPS Estimate Current Year 38.6793 | EPS Estimate Next Year 43.7926 | Wall Street Target Price 945.3333 |
Using McKesson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McKesson from the perspective of McKesson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards McKesson using McKesson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards McKesson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of McKesson's stock price.
McKesson Short Interest
An investor who is long McKesson may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about McKesson and may potentially protect profits, hedge McKesson with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 754.5606 | Short Percent 0.0165 | Short Ratio 3.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 829.145 |
McKesson Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to McKesson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in McKesson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding McKesson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around McKesson. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of McKesson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about McKesson.
McKesson Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
McKesson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of McKesson stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if McKesson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that McKesson stock will not fluctuate a lot when McKesson's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in McKesson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying McKesson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
McKesson after-hype prediction price | USD 822.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current McKesson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that McKesson will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With McKesson trading at USD 822.0, that is roughly USD 0.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating McKesson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring McKesson options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out McKesson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McKesson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McKesson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McKesson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McKesson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of McKesson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McKesson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McKesson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McKesson's historical news coverage. McKesson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 820.77 and 823.23, respectively. We have considered McKesson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McKesson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McKesson is based on 3 months time horizon.
McKesson Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McKesson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McKesson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McKesson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.24 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
822.00 | 822.00 | 0.00 |
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McKesson Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February McKesson is traded for 822.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. McKesson is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 31.47%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on McKesson is about 207.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 822.03. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.03. McKesson recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 5th of January 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out McKesson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.McKesson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McKesson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McKesson's future price movements. Getting to know how McKesson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McKesson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COR | Cencora | 1.34 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.79 | (2.45) | 7.13 | |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | 3.82 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 3.37 | (2.36) | 9.91 | |
| CVS | CVS Health Corp | 2.40 | 7 per month | 3.16 | (0.02) | 2.57 | (2.07) | 17.16 | |
| MDT | Medtronic PLC | (3.39) | 3 per month | 0.67 | 0.1 | 2.41 | (1.30) | 6.95 | |
| HCA | HCA Holdings | 0.84 | 6 per month | 1.62 | 0.03 | 2.91 | (2.89) | 9.97 | |
| GSK | GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR | (0.63) | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.34 | (1.83) | 6.43 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | (0.36) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.19 | 3.26 | (1.98) | 8.00 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | 2.76 | 2 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.54 | (2.01) | 5.51 | |
| SNY | Sanofi ADR | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.87 | (2.19) | 5.92 | |
| SYK | Stryker | (0.69) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.16 | (1.99) | 6.72 |
McKesson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McKesson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McKesson using various technical indicators. When you analyze McKesson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About McKesson Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of McKesson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as McKesson, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of McKesson based on analysis of McKesson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to McKesson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to McKesson's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004394 | 0.004024 | 0.004627 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.27 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out McKesson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy McKesson Stock please use our How to buy in McKesson Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McKesson. Expected growth trajectory for McKesson significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive McKesson assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.77 | Dividend Share 2.95 | Earnings Share 32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 |
Understanding McKesson requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects McKesson's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what McKesson's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push McKesson's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that McKesson's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether McKesson represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, McKesson's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.