MODG Old Price Prediction
| MODGDelisted Stock | USD 14.68 0.07 0.47% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MODG Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MODG Old from the perspective of MODG Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MODG Old to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MODG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MODG Old after-hype prediction price | $ 14.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MODG |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MODG Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MODG Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MODG Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MODG Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MODG Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MODG Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MODG Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MODG Old's historical news coverage. MODG Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.71 and 18.65, respectively. We have considered MODG Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MODG Old is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MODG Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
MODG Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MODG Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MODG Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MODG Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 4.00 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.68 | 14.68 | 0.00 |
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MODG Old Hype Timeline
MODG Old is now traded for 14.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. MODG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on MODG Old is about 3418.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.77. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MODG Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.67. The entity recorded a loss per share of 8.19. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of May 2020. MODG Old had 2:1 split on the 13th of March 1995. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out MODG Old Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MODG Old Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MODG Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MODG Old's future price movements. Getting to know how MODG Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MODG Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | 0.31 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.52 | (6.75) | 27.50 | |
| KSS | Kohls | 0.31 | 2 per month | 3.22 | 0.04 | 5.38 | (5.71) | 49.53 | |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings | (0.58) | 6 per month | 1.71 | (0.03) | 4.69 | (2.86) | 10.62 | |
| OI | O I Glass | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.10 | 4.16 | (3.38) | 18.50 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.64 | (2.00) | 6.16 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.23 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.56 | (3.13) | 11.11 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.87 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.18 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| LUCK | Lucky Strike Entertainment | (0.23) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.99 | (5.54) | 13.70 | |
| SHCO | Soho House Co | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.64 | (0.04) | 1.13 | (1.36) | 12.23 |
MODG Old Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MODG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MODG using various technical indicators. When you analyze MODG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MODG Old Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MODG Old stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MODG Old, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MODG Old based on analysis of MODG Old hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MODG Old's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MODG Old's related companies.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out MODG Old Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in MODG Stock
If you are still planning to invest in MODG Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MODG Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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