Monnari Trade (Poland) Price Patterns
| MON Stock | 7.12 0.02 0.28% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Monnari Trade hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monnari Trade SA from the perspective of Monnari Trade response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Monnari Trade to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Monnari because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Monnari Trade after-hype prediction price | PLN 7.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Monnari |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monnari Trade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monnari Trade After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monnari Trade at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monnari Trade or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monnari Trade, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monnari Trade Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monnari Trade's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monnari Trade's historical news coverage. Monnari Trade's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.30 and 9.94, respectively. We have considered Monnari Trade's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monnari Trade is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monnari Trade SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monnari Trade Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monnari Trade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monnari Trade backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monnari Trade, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 2.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.12 | 7.12 | 0.00 |
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Monnari Trade Hype Timeline
Monnari Trade SA is now traded for 7.12on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Monnari is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monnari Trade is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.12. About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Monnari Trade SA last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Monnari Trade Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Monnari Trade Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monnari Trade's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monnari Trade's future price movements. Getting to know how Monnari Trade's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monnari Trade may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABS | Asseco Business Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.83 | (2.52) | 5.75 | |
| OPG | Cpi Fim SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.59 | 0.01 | 9.90 | (8.03) | 27.05 | |
| MOV | Movie Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.38 | (4.26) | 14.50 | |
| CMP | Comp SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | (0.04) | 3.44 | (3.72) | 14.31 | |
| ALI | Altustfi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.03 | 4.36 | (2.63) | 18.71 | |
| ETFBM40TR | Beta mWIG40TR Portfelowy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.08 | 1.70 | (1.36) | 4.55 | |
| 3RG | 3R Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 16.47 | |
| IGT | Igoria Trade SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.00 | (4.76) | 18.33 |
Monnari Trade Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monnari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monnari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monnari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Monnari Trade Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Monnari Trade stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Monnari Trade SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monnari Trade based on analysis of Monnari Trade hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Monnari Trade's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Monnari Trade's related companies.
Pair Trading with Monnari Trade
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Monnari Trade position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Monnari Trade will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Monnari Stock
Moving against Monnari Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Monnari Trade could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Monnari Trade when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Monnari Trade - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Monnari Trade SA to buy it.
The correlation of Monnari Trade is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Monnari Trade moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Monnari Trade SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Monnari Trade can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Monnari Stock Analysis
When running Monnari Trade's price analysis, check to measure Monnari Trade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monnari Trade is operating at the current time. Most of Monnari Trade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monnari Trade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monnari Trade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monnari Trade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.