Marathon Petroleum (Germany) Price Prediction
| MPN Stock | 146.70 2.84 1.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Marathon Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Petroleum from the perspective of Marathon Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marathon Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marathon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marathon Petroleum after-hype prediction price | EUR 146.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Marathon |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marathon Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marathon Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marathon Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marathon Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marathon Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marathon Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marathon Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marathon Petroleum's historical news coverage. Marathon Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.57 and 148.83, respectively. We have considered Marathon Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marathon Petroleum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marathon Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marathon Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marathon Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marathon Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
146.70 | 146.70 | 0.00 |
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Marathon Petroleum Hype Timeline
Marathon Petroleum is now traded for 146.70on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Marathon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marathon Petroleum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 146.70. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marathon Petroleum has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.18. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 25.76. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2023. Marathon Petroleum had 2:1 split on the 11th of June 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Marathon Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marathon Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marathon Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marathon Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Marathon Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marathon Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| I43 | Jacquet Metal Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | (0.04) | 2.53 | (2.95) | 7.95 | |
| FJZ | Zijin Mining Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.97 | (0.02) | 6.75 | (7.57) | 18.51 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.52 | (5.52) | 20.89 | |
| FOO0 | SALESFORCE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.14 | 4.02 | (2.17) | 14.31 | |
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 31WN | Western Copper and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.94 | 0 | 4.76 | (3.92) | 24.80 | |
| WN6 | CarsalesCom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.05 | 2.73 | (1.79) | 6.24 |
Marathon Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marathon Petroleum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marathon Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marathon Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Petroleum based on analysis of Marathon Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marathon Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marathon Petroleum's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Marathon Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Marathon Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Marathon Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marathon Petroleum Short Properties
Marathon Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marathon Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marathon Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marathon Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 579 M |
Additional Tools for Marathon Stock Analysis
When running Marathon Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.