Mersen SA (France) Price Patterns

MRN Stock  EUR 25.90  0.20  0.78%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mersen SA's stock price is about 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mersen, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mersen SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mersen SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mersen SA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.4161
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.8811
Wall Street Target Price
29.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Using Mersen SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mersen SA from the perspective of Mersen SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mersen SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mersen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mersen SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 25.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mersen SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3129.3930.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.820.880.96
Details

Mersen SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mersen SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mersen SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mersen SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mersen SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mersen SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mersen SA's historical news coverage. Mersen SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.33 and 27.43, respectively. We have considered Mersen SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.90
25.88
After-hype Price
27.43
Upside
Mersen SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mersen SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mersen SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mersen SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mersen SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mersen SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
1.55
  0.02 
  0.29 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.90
25.88
0.08 
3,100  
Notes

Mersen SA Hype Timeline

Mersen SA is now traded for 25.90on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Mersen is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Mersen SA is about 181.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.61. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mersen SA last dividend was issued on the 7th of July 2025. The entity had 3671:3518 split on the 19th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Mersen SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mersen SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mersen SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mersen SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Mersen SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mersen SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SCHPSeche Environnem(8.60)1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.87 (3.05) 23.49 
FGAFigeac Aero SA 0.15 3 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.62 (5.02) 12.81 
CENGroupe CRIT SA(0.40)5 per month 0.85  0.05  3.14 (1.64) 8.25 
WAGAWaga Energy SA 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.15 (2.75) 9.01 
PERRGrard Perrier Industrie 0.00 0 per month 0.79  0.07  2.21 (1.41) 6.17 
MTUManitou BF SA 0.24 3 per month 0.94  0.11  2.93 (1.99) 21.05 
SAMSSamse SA 0.00 0 per month 1.41 (0.03) 2.89 (2.80) 7.43 
ASYAssystem SA 0.35 3 per month 1.31  0.04  2.76 (2.69) 8.96 
THEPThermador Groupe SA 0.20 4 per month 1.89  0.01  2.51 (3.21) 8.45 
SDGSynergie SE(0.50)5 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.31 (2.27) 9.16 

Mersen SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mersen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mersen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mersen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mersen SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mersen SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mersen SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mersen SA based on analysis of Mersen SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mersen SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mersen SA's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0370.06170.0556
Price To Sales Ratio0.670.40.46

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Complementary Tools for Mersen Stock analysis

When running Mersen SA's price analysis, check to measure Mersen SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mersen SA is operating at the current time. Most of Mersen SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mersen SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mersen SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mersen SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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