Mty Food Group Stock Price Prediction
| MTY Stock | CAD 42.70 0.21 0.49% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3417 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.2683 | Wall Street Target Price 43.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.24 |
Using MTY Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MTY Food Group from the perspective of MTY Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MTY Food to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MTY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MTY Food after-hype prediction price | CAD 42.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MTY |
MTY Food After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MTY Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MTY Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MTY Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MTY Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MTY Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MTY Food's historical news coverage. MTY Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.24 and 45.16, respectively. We have considered MTY Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MTY Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MTY Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
MTY Food Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MTY Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MTY Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MTY Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.45 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.70 | 42.70 | 0.00 |
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MTY Food Hype Timeline
MTY Food Group is now traded for 42.70on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. MTY is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on MTY Food is about 1212.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.61. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MTY Food Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. The firm had 1:5000 split on the 21st of December 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out MTY Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MTY Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MTY Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MTY Food's future price movements. Getting to know how MTY Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MTY Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AW | A W FOOD | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.92 | (1.89) | 6.49 | |
| MRE | Martinrea International | (0.49) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.98 | (2.12) | 8.42 | |
| PZA | Pizza Pizza Royalty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 1.14 | (1.12) | 4.11 | |
| ACQ | Autocanada | (0.49) | 8 per month | 2.97 | 0.02 | 3.18 | (3.01) | 15.89 | |
| PBL | Pollard Banknote Limited | (0.95) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.85 | (2.80) | 9.09 | |
| TWC | TWC Enterprises | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.64 | 0.08 | 2.15 | (1.71) | 7.71 | |
| GBT | BMTC Group | (0.07) | 3 per month | 1.70 | (0) | 4.57 | (3.49) | 10.38 | |
| ODD | Odd Burger Corp | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.50 | (12.50) | 67.50 | |
| CKI | Clarke Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.14 | (4.09) | 8.35 | |
| KITS | Kits Eyecare | (0.01) | 7 per month | 2.33 | 0.18 | 6.71 | (3.25) | 18.46 |
MTY Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MTY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MTY using various technical indicators. When you analyze MTY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MTY Food Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MTY Food stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MTY Food Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MTY Food based on analysis of MTY Food hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MTY Food's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MTY Food's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0194 | 0.0235 | 0.0211 | 0.0222 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.08 | 0.99 | 0.89 | 0.84 |
Pair Trading with MTY Food
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MTY Food position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MTY Food will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with MTY Stock
| 0.93 | BNP | BNP Paribas CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | RY | Royal Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | TD-PFI | Toronto Dominion Bank | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to MTY Food could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MTY Food when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MTY Food - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling MTY Food Group to buy it.
The correlation of MTY Food is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MTY Food moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if MTY Food Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MTY Food can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in MTY Stock
MTY Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether MTY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MTY with respect to the benefits of owning MTY Food security.