Mty Food Group Stock Price Prediction
| MTY Stock | CAD 45.60 0.77 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9925 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.16 | Wall Street Target Price 56.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.09 |
Using MTY Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MTY Food Group from the perspective of MTY Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MTY Food to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MTY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MTY Food after-hype prediction price | CAD 45.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MTY |
MTY Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MTY Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MTY Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MTY Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MTY Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MTY Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MTY Food's historical news coverage. MTY Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.07 and 47.09, respectively. We have considered MTY Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MTY Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MTY Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
MTY Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MTY Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MTY Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MTY Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.51 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.60 | 45.58 | 0.04 |
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MTY Food Hype Timeline
MTY Food Group is now traded for 45.60on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. MTY is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on MTY Food is about 328.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.62. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MTY Food Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2024. The firm had 1:5000 split on the 21st of December 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out MTY Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MTY Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MTY Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MTY Food's future price movements. Getting to know how MTY Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MTY Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QSR | Restaurant Brands International | 0.86 | 1 per month | 1.12 | (0.08) | 1.99 | (1.93) | 6.46 | |
| ENGH | Enghouse Systems | (0.09) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.71 | (2.81) | 8.90 | |
| MRU | Metro Inc | 0.70 | 1 per month | 0.70 | 0 | 1.45 | (1.32) | 3.55 | |
| GSY | goeasy | 0.37 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.82 | (3.00) | 12.18 |
MTY Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MTY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MTY using various technical indicators. When you analyze MTY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About MTY Food Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MTY Food stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MTY Food Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MTY Food based on analysis of MTY Food hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MTY Food's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MTY Food's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0137 | 0.0194 | 0.0175 | 0.0183 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.09 | 1.08 | 0.97 | 0.92 |
Story Coverage note for MTY Food
The number of cover stories for MTY Food depends on current market conditions and MTY Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MTY Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MTY Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MTY Food Short Properties
MTY Food's future price predictability will typically decrease when MTY Food's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MTY Food Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MTY Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MTY Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in MTY Stock
MTY Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether MTY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MTY with respect to the benefits of owning MTY Food security.