Pollard Banknote Limited Stock Price Patterns
| PBL Stock | CAD 18.89 0.08 0.43% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.74 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.13 | Wall Street Target Price 34.5 |
Using Pollard Banknote hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pollard Banknote Limited from the perspective of Pollard Banknote response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pollard Banknote to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pollard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pollard Banknote after-hype prediction price | CAD 18.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pollard |
Pollard Banknote After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pollard Banknote at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pollard Banknote or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pollard Banknote, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pollard Banknote Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pollard Banknote's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pollard Banknote's historical news coverage. Pollard Banknote's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.07 and 20.53, respectively. We have considered Pollard Banknote's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pollard Banknote is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pollard Banknote is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pollard Banknote Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pollard Banknote is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pollard Banknote backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pollard Banknote, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.73 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.89 | 18.80 | 0.48 |
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Pollard Banknote Hype Timeline
Pollard Banknote is at this time traded for 18.89on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Pollard is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 182.11%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Pollard Banknote is about 10812.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.89. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pollard Banknote last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Pollard Banknote Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pollard Banknote Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pollard Banknote's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pollard Banknote's future price movements. Getting to know how Pollard Banknote's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pollard Banknote may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWC | TWC Enterprises | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.66 | 0.08 | 2.15 | (1.71) | 7.71 | |
| ACQ | Autocanada | (0.17) | 8 per month | 3.07 | 0.01 | 4.12 | (3.27) | 15.89 | |
| GH | Gamehost | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.83 | (0.01) | 1.72 | (1.36) | 5.89 | |
| GBT | BMTC Group | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.61) | 10.38 | |
| PZA | Pizza Pizza Royalty | 0.1 | 5 per month | 1.11 | (0.01) | 1.14 | (1.12) | 4.11 | |
| KITS | Kits Eyecare | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.24 | 0.16 | 6.71 | (3.25) | 18.46 | |
| CKI | Clarke Inc | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.42 | (4.09) | 9.51 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | (0.27) | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.11 | 2.57 | (2.13) | 21.01 | |
| MRE | Martinrea International | (0.05) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.98 | (2.12) | 8.42 | |
| XTC | Exco Technologies Limited | 0.20 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 2.41 | (2.03) | 6.45 |
Pollard Banknote Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pollard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pollard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pollard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pollard Banknote Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pollard Banknote stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pollard Banknote Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pollard Banknote based on analysis of Pollard Banknote hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pollard Banknote's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pollard Banknote's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004995 | 0.007916 | 0.009103 | 0.008648 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.66 | 1.16 | 1.34 | 1.27 |
Pair Trading with Pollard Banknote
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pollard Banknote position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pollard Banknote will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Pollard Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pollard Banknote could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pollard Banknote when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pollard Banknote - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pollard Banknote Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Pollard Banknote is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pollard Banknote moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pollard Banknote moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pollard Banknote can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Pollard Stock
Pollard Banknote financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pollard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pollard with respect to the benefits of owning Pollard Banknote security.