Münchener Rück (Germany) Price Prediction
| MUV2 Stock | 485.90 1.80 0.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Münchener Rück hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mnchener Rck AG from the perspective of Münchener Rück response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Münchener Rück to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Münchener because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Münchener Rück after-hype prediction price | EUR 484.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Münchener |
Münchener Rück After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Münchener Rück at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Münchener Rück or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Münchener Rück, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Münchener Rück Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Münchener Rück's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Münchener Rück's historical news coverage. Münchener Rück's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 482.90 and 485.30, respectively. We have considered Münchener Rück's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Münchener Rück is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mnchener Rck AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Münchener Rück Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Münchener Rück is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Münchener Rück backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Münchener Rück, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
485.90 | 484.10 | 0.00 |
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Münchener Rück Hype Timeline
Mnchener Rck AG is now traded for 485.90on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Münchener is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Münchener Rück is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 485.90. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Münchener Rück was now reported as 152.32. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. Mnchener Rck AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. The firm had 506:481 split on the 28th of October 2003. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Münchener Rück Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Münchener Rück Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Münchener Rück's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Münchener Rück's future price movements. Getting to know how Münchener Rück's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Münchener Rück may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 71F | VIRG NATL BANKSH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.11 | 4.78 | (2.33) | 12.80 | |
| W9C | Constellation Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 2.33 | (1.53) | 5.85 | |
| A4S | Ameriprise Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.20 | 2.20 | (1.24) | 16.93 | |
| 16U | Upland Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.13 | 8.11 | (5.05) | 18.71 | |
| H0O | REVO INSURANCE SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.14 | 1.85 | (1.29) | 5.26 | |
| CIN0 | COMINTL BANK ADR1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | (0.05) | 1.57 | (2.27) | 10.07 | |
| CBR | CHIBA BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | (0.05) | 3.45 | (3.47) | 9.35 |
Münchener Rück Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Münchener price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Münchener using various technical indicators. When you analyze Münchener charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Münchener Rück Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Münchener Rück stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mnchener Rck AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Münchener Rück based on analysis of Münchener Rück hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Münchener Rück's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Münchener Rück's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Münchener Rück
The number of cover stories for Münchener Rück depends on current market conditions and Münchener Rück's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Münchener Rück is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Münchener Rück's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Münchener Rück Short Properties
Münchener Rück's future price predictability will typically decrease when Münchener Rück's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mnchener Rck AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Münchener Rück's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Münchener Rück's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Münchener Stock analysis
When running Münchener Rück's price analysis, check to measure Münchener Rück's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Münchener Rück is operating at the current time. Most of Münchener Rück's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Münchener Rück's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Münchener Rück's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Münchener Rück to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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