Northern Dynasty Minerals Stock Price Prediction
| NAK Stock | USD 0.47 0.01 2.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.04) | Wall Street Target Price 1.81 |
Using Northern Dynasty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northern Dynasty Minerals from the perspective of Northern Dynasty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northern Dynasty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Northern Dynasty after-hype prediction price | USD 0.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Northern |
Northern Dynasty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northern Dynasty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northern Dynasty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northern Dynasty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northern Dynasty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northern Dynasty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northern Dynasty's historical news coverage. Northern Dynasty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.47, respectively. We have considered Northern Dynasty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northern Dynasty is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northern Dynasty Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northern Dynasty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northern Dynasty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Dynasty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northern Dynasty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 4.99 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.47 | 0.48 | 2.13 |
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Northern Dynasty Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Northern Dynasty Minerals is traded for 0.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Northern is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 2.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Northern Dynasty is about 13434.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.49. Northern Dynasty Minerals has 2.66 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Northern Dynasty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Northern Dynasty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northern Dynasty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northern Dynasty's future price movements. Getting to know how Northern Dynasty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northern Dynasty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VALE | Vale SA ADR | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.72 | (3.49) | 11.97 | |
| TECK | Teck Resources Ltd | 0.93 | 9 per month | 2.63 | (0.05) | 3.96 | (4.64) | 11.11 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | (0.25) | 8 per month | 2.07 | (0.07) | 3.24 | (3.01) | 9.94 | |
| GLNCY | Glencore PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.22 | (4.20) | 12.80 | |
| PLL | Piedmont Lithium Ltd | 0.08 | 8 per month | 5.62 | 0.09 | 15.69 | (9.30) | 34.61 | |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Resources | (0.56) | 10 per month | 3.11 | 0.08 | 7.65 | (4.78) | 21.69 | |
| SLI | Standard Lithium | 0.02 | 7 per month | 5.15 | 0.1 | 14.53 | (8.93) | 35.90 |
Northern Dynasty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Northern Dynasty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Northern Dynasty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northern Dynasty Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northern Dynasty based on analysis of Northern Dynasty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northern Dynasty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northern Dynasty's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Northern Dynasty
The number of cover stories for Northern Dynasty depends on current market conditions and Northern Dynasty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northern Dynasty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northern Dynasty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Northern Dynasty Short Properties
Northern Dynasty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northern Dynasty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northern Dynasty Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northern Dynasty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Dynasty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 530.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.2 M |
Check out Northern Dynasty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Dynasty. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Dynasty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.14) |
The market value of Northern Dynasty Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Dynasty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Dynasty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Dynasty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Dynasty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Dynasty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Dynasty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Dynasty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.