National Cinemedia Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NCMI Stock | USD 6.81 0.12 1.79% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding National CineMedia is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of National CineMedia's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out National CineMedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards National CineMedia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
National |
Execute National CineMedia Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National CineMedia. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National CineMedia or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National CineMedia's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
National CineMedia Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National CineMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National CineMedia currently holds 16 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| National CineMedia currently holds about 73.4 M in cash with (6.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
National CineMedia Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National CineMedia's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National CineMedia's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National CineMedia daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National CineMedia price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National CineMedia returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National CineMedia.
| Mean Return | -0.004 | Value At Risk | -2.77 | Potential Upside | 3.49 | Standard Deviation | 2.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National CineMedia historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Barclays Plc | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Whitebox Advisors, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 935 K | Contrarian Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 819.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 721.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 641.5 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-06-30 | 587.9 K | Luxor Capital Group, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 490.8 K | Blantyre Capital Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 26.7 M | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 6.6 M |
National CineMedia Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 14M | 8M | 5.7M | 2.9M | 3.3M | 3.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 55.9M | 180.3M | 101.2M | 63.8M | 37.6M | 60.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 14.5M | 124.4M | (79.1M) | (37.4M) | (26.2M) | (24.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 129.6M | 47.3M | (100.9M) | (50.2M) | (10M) | (9.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 40.3M | 37.7M | 35.6M | 31.5M | 25.5M | 28.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 31.6M | (151.1M) | (2.9M) | 12.3M | (752.9M) | (715.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 125.5M | 68.8M | 16.9M | 9.5M | 500K | 475K | |
| Net Income | 86.7M | (126.3M) | (118.4M) | (66.2M) | 705.2M | 740.5M | |
| Investments | (1.8M) | 15.6M | 23.6M | 300K | 35.2M | 37.0M | |
| Change Receivables | (20.9M) | 158M | (36.8M) | (40M) | (46M) | (43.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (3.9M) | 123.3M | 40.4M | 59.6M | 68.5M | 72.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 24.2M | 165.1M | 9.5M | 13.6M | 15.6M | 14.9M |
National CineMedia Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National CineMedia or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National CineMedia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
National CineMedia Volatility Alert
National CineMedia exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.57 and kurtosis of 7.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National CineMedia's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National CineMedia's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National CineMedia Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National CineMedia's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National CineMedia's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National CineMedia and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National CineMedia or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National CineMedia's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National CineMedia by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National CineMedia to competition |
| Fundamentals | National CineMedia | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0586 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0217 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 607.78 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 94.92 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.96 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.63 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 165.2 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 37.7 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 750.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 705.2 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 73.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.90 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 16 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (3.06) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.7 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 11.52 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.34) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (3.82) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.06 | |
| Number Of Employees | 292 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.07 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 646.37 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 567.7 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 316.6 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 85.4 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
National CineMedia Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National CineMedia Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National CineMedia? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having National CineMedia in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Basic Utilities
Companies involved in production and distribution of electric, gas, water, and other energy utilities. The Basic Utilities theme has 44 constituents at this time.
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Check out National CineMedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share (7.34) | Revenue Per Share 2.546 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.526 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of National CineMedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National CineMedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National CineMedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National CineMedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National CineMedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National CineMedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National CineMedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.