Naphtha (Israel) Price Patterns
| NFTA Stock | ILS 2,610 78.00 2.90% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Naphtha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Naphtha from the perspective of Naphtha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Naphtha to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Naphtha because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Naphtha after-hype prediction price | ILA 2610.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Naphtha |
Naphtha After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Naphtha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Naphtha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Naphtha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Naphtha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Naphtha's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Naphtha's historical news coverage. Naphtha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,609 and 2,611, respectively. We have considered Naphtha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Naphtha is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Naphtha is based on 3 months time horizon.
Naphtha Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Naphtha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Naphtha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Naphtha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2,610 | 2,610 | 0.00 |
|
Naphtha Hype Timeline
Naphtha is now traded for 2,610on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Naphtha is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Naphtha is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,610. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.13. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Naphtha has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 553.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of February 2023. The firm had 1:20 split on the 14th of January 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Naphtha Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Naphtha Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Naphtha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Naphtha's future price movements. Getting to know how Naphtha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Naphtha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRAL | Dor Alon | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.13 | 2.31 | (2.02) | 9.73 | |
| TMRP | Tamar Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.01 | (4.08) | 12.27 | |
| ORL | Oil Refineries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.07 | 3.86 | (2.68) | 8.25 | |
| LAPD | Lapidoth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.13 | 3.18 | (2.25) | 10.90 | |
| EQTL | Equital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (2.84) | 9.48 | |
| RATI | Ratio Oil Explorations | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.02 | 3.01 | (2.75) | 6.90 | |
| ILDR | Israel Land Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.21 | 4.24 | (1.78) | 8.96 | |
| ISRA | Isramco Negev 2 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.53 | (3.26) | 11.01 | |
| PTX | Petrotx Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.96 | 0.03 | 6.78 | (5.24) | 30.93 | |
| GIVO | Givot Olam Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.98 | (3.41) | 11.88 |
Naphtha Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Naphtha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Naphtha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Naphtha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Naphtha Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Naphtha stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Naphtha, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Naphtha based on analysis of Naphtha hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Naphtha's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Naphtha's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Naphtha Stock analysis
When running Naphtha's price analysis, check to measure Naphtha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Naphtha is operating at the current time. Most of Naphtha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Naphtha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Naphtha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Naphtha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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