National Health Investors Stock Price Prediction
| NHI Stock | USD 68.24 0.88 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.76 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0944 | Wall Street Target Price 79.2857 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.73 |
Using National Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Health Investors from the perspective of National Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National Health using National Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National Health's stock price.
National Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in National Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards National. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of National Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 72.6215 | Short Percent 0.0644 | Short Ratio 7.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 72.1184 |
National Health Investors Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to National Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Health Investors. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Health.
National Health Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
National Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Health Investors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Health's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
National Health after-hype prediction price | USD 68.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current National contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that National Health Investors will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With National Health trading at USD 68.24, that is roughly USD 0.0205 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating National Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring National Health Investors options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
National |
National Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Health's historical news coverage. National Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.00 and 69.86, respectively. We have considered National Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Health Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
National Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.43 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
68.24 | 68.43 | 0.19 |
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National Health Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January National Health Investors is traded for 68.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. National is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 68.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 195.89%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on National Health is about 3575.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.25. The company reported the last year's revenue of 319.83 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 134.38 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 318.75 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out National Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.National Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Health's future price movements. Getting to know how National Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GMRE | Global Medical REIT | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.89 | (2.54) | 5.89 | |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.87 | (2.70) | 6.80 | |
| VTR | Ventas Inc | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.99 | (2.08) | 5.56 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.70 | (2.66) | 6.36 | |
| PEAK | PEAK Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.0001 | 2.88 | (2.16) | 6.74 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.01 | (2.81) | 9.00 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | (0.84) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.26 | (3.65) | 8.78 | |
| CHCT | Community Healthcare Trust | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 3.02 | (2.34) | 10.18 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | 1.27 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.71 | (2.44) | 6.69 | |
| GMRE-PA | Global Medical REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | (0.08) | 1.16 | (1.19) | 3.75 |
National Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About National Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of National Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Health Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Health based on analysis of National Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Health's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0692 | 0.0645 | 0.0741 | 0.0868 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.4 | 7.58 | 6.82 | 7.26 |
Story Coverage note for National Health
The number of cover stories for National Health depends on current market conditions and National Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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National Health Short Properties
National Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when National Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National Health Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.3 M |
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Health's price analysis, check to measure National Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Health is operating at the current time. Most of National Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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