Neometals (UK) Price Prediction

NMT Stock   4.75  0.00  0.00%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Neometals' share price is approaching 37. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Neometals, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Neometals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Neometals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Neometals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Neometals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Neometals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
16.625
Using Neometals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neometals from the perspective of Neometals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Neometals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Neometals because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Neometals after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 4.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Neometals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.099.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.409.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.604.805.01
Details

Neometals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Neometals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neometals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Neometals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Neometals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Neometals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neometals' historical news coverage. Neometals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 9.74, respectively. We have considered Neometals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.75
4.74
After-hype Price
9.74
Upside
Neometals is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neometals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Neometals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neometals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neometals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neometals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
5.00
  0.01 
  0.04 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.75
4.74
0.21 
2,000  
Notes

Neometals Hype Timeline

Neometals is now traded for 4.75on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Neometals is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Neometals is about 344.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.79. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Neometals recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:100 split on the 4th of November 2004. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Neometals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Neometals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Neometals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neometals' future price movements. Getting to know how Neometals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neometals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0QPSGivaudan SA 23.50 1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.50 (2.34) 6.14 
ANTOAntofagasta PLC(9.00)1 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.53 (4.64) 12.91 
CEYCentamin PLC 3.70 2 per month 1.84  0.04  3.33 (2.92) 28.88 
ATYMAtalaya Mining(3.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.97 (5.03) 11.16 
FXPOFerrexpo PLC 0.00 0 per month 4.44  0.13  10.72 (7.25) 41.73 
AMRQAmaroq Minerals 0.60 2 per month 1.06  0.17  4.35 (2.71) 10.60 
CAMLCentral Asia Metals(0.60)1 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.42 (3.29) 9.45 
AAZAnglo Asian Mining(2.50)2 per month 2.50  0.04  5.31 (4.72) 16.37 
MTLMetals Exploration Plc 0.37 3 per month 2.42  0.03  5.61 (4.50) 16.60 

Neometals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Neometals price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neometals using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neometals charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Neometals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Neometals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Neometals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Neometals based on analysis of Neometals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Neometals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Neometals's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Neometals

The number of cover stories for Neometals depends on current market conditions and Neometals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neometals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neometals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Neometals Short Properties

Neometals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Neometals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Neometals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Neometals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neometals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cash And Short Term Investments9.6 M
Shares Float484.7 M

Complementary Tools for Neometals Stock analysis

When running Neometals' price analysis, check to measure Neometals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neometals is operating at the current time. Most of Neometals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neometals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neometals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neometals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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