Ofs Credit Stock Price Prediction

OCCI Stock  USD 7.07  0.03  0.42%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of OFS Credit's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OFS Credit, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OFS Credit's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OFS Credit, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OFS Credit's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.279
Wall Street Target Price
7.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
Using OFS Credit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OFS Credit from the perspective of OFS Credit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OFS Credit to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OFS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

OFS Credit after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out OFS Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OFS Stock please use our How to Invest in OFS Credit guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OFS Credit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.077.088.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.127.148.15
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.199.009.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

OFS Credit After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OFS Credit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OFS Credit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OFS Credit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OFS Credit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OFS Credit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OFS Credit's historical news coverage. OFS Credit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.06 and 8.08, respectively. We have considered OFS Credit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.07
7.07
After-hype Price
8.08
Upside
OFS Credit is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OFS Credit is based on 3 months time horizon.

OFS Credit Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OFS Credit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OFS Credit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OFS Credit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.01
  0.01 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.07
7.07
0.00 
420.83  
Notes

OFS Credit Hype Timeline

OFS Credit is now traded for 7.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. OFS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on OFS Credit is about 2312.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.07. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OFS Credit last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out OFS Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OFS Stock please use our How to Invest in OFS Credit guide.

OFS Credit Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OFS Credit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OFS Credit's future price movements. Getting to know how OFS Credit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OFS Credit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WHFWhiteHorse Finance 0.08 9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.44 (1.54) 7.36 
MRCCMonroe Capital Corp(0.05)10 per month 1.21  0.07  2.29 (1.92) 6.38 
PTMNPortman Ridge Finance(0.18)9 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.31 (1.20) 5.11 
FDUSFidus Investment Corp 0.19 6 per month 0.47 (0.01) 1.20 (0.92) 3.15 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment(1.10)8 per month 1.12  0.03  2.30 (1.79) 8.58 
GEGGreat Elm Group(0.02)7 per month 1.05 (0.08) 2.69 (2.12) 7.41 
ICMBInvestcorp Credit Management 0.09 5 per month 1.16 (0.07) 3.07 (2.19) 8.23 
NCZAllianzgi Convertible Income 0.03 4 per month 0.82  0.08  1.96 (1.69) 5.22 
CBHCBH 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.38) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
OXLCOxford Lane Capital(0.03)6 per month 0.53 (0.1) 1.00 (0.98) 3.24 
SCMStellus Capital Investment 0.01 8 per month 0.64 (0.08) 1.22 (1.29) 4.47 
PSECProspect Capital 0.08 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.34 (2.01) 19.03 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance(0.09)9 per month 0.00 (0.35) 0.88 (2.10) 5.65 
GLADGladstone Capital 0.06 9 per month 0.31  0.20  1.64 (1.12) 4.12 
RIVRivernorth Opportunities(0.04)1 per month 0.48 (0.06) 1.04 (1.03) 2.80 
ACPAberdeen Income Credit(0.03)3 per month 0.51 (0.08) 0.97 (0.94) 3.24 
PCFPutnam High Income 0.04 4 per month 0.37 (0.11) 0.90 (0.89) 2.10 
CRFCornerstone Strategic Return 0.05 3 per month 0.11  0.21  1.81 (0.99) 3.89 
GLOClough Global Opportunities 0.07 2 per month 0.57 (0.13) 1.16 (1.15) 3.03 

OFS Credit Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze OFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About OFS Credit Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of OFS Credit stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OFS Credit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OFS Credit based on analysis of OFS Credit hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OFS Credit's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OFS Credit's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.840.590.530.51
Dividend Yield0.04610.07080.08140.084

Story Coverage note for OFS Credit

The number of cover stories for OFS Credit depends on current market conditions and OFS Credit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OFS Credit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OFS Credit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OFS Credit Short Properties

OFS Credit's future price predictability will typically decrease when OFS Credit's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OFS Credit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OFS Credit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OFS Credit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.4 M
Dividends PaidM
Cash And Short Term Investments16.8 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.38

Complementary Tools for OFS Stock analysis

When running OFS Credit's price analysis, check to measure OFS Credit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OFS Credit is operating at the current time. Most of OFS Credit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OFS Credit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OFS Credit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OFS Credit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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