Orla Mining Stock Price Patterns

OLA Stock  CAD 23.74  1.83  8.35%   
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Orla Mining's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orla Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orla Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orla Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Orla Mining's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.333
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3002
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8866
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.8152
Wall Street Target Price
30.7066
Using Orla Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orla Mining from the perspective of Orla Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Orla Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Orla because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Orla Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 23.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Orla Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Orla Stock, please use our How to Invest in Orla Mining guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9622.5927.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.370.24
Details

Orla Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Orla Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orla Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orla Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Orla Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Orla Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orla Mining's historical news coverage. Orla Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.19 and 28.45, respectively. We have considered Orla Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.74
23.82
After-hype Price
28.45
Upside
Orla Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orla Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Orla Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orla Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orla Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orla Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.64 
4.63
  0.08 
  0.04 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.74
23.82
0.34 
3,858  
Notes

Orla Mining Hype Timeline

Orla Mining is now traded for 23.74on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Orla is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Orla Mining is about 7862.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.78. The company reported the revenue of 327.41 M. Net Income was 88.98 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 506.15 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Orla Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Orla Stock, please use our How to Invest in Orla Mining guide.

Orla Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Orla Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orla Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Orla Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orla Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WGXWestgold Resources Limited(0.23)7 per month 2.92  0.13  4.86 (5.37) 16.16 
NGNovaGold Resources(0.08)8 per month 4.97  0.08  7.96 (7.47) 31.36 
KNTK92 Mining 0.33 8 per month 2.86  0.18  4.61 (4.47) 13.97 
TXGTorex Gold Resources 1.44 8 per month 4.36 (0.02) 5.38 (7.96) 19.51 
DPMDundee Precious Metals 0.79 4 per month 3.30  0.22  5.49 (2.52) 19.23 
NGEXNGEx Minerals 0.24 6 per month 3.12  0.09  5.08 (5.31) 16.13 
PRUPerseus Mining(0.04)8 per month 3.35  0.08  4.73 (4.25) 18.09 
CGCenterra Gold(1.34)8 per month 3.37  0.18  5.87 (4.10) 21.48 
SEASeabridge Gold(0.58)8 per month 4.05  0.12  6.58 (6.74) 27.40 

Orla Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Orla Mining Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Orla Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Orla Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orla Mining based on analysis of Orla Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Orla Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orla Mining's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding24.529.7111.1710.61
PTB Ratio3.365.04.55.4

Pair Trading with Orla Mining

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Orla Mining position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orla Mining will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Orla Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Orla Mining could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Orla Mining when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Orla Mining - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Orla Mining to buy it.
The correlation of Orla Mining is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Orla Mining moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Orla Mining moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Orla Mining can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Orla Mining offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orla Mining's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orla Mining Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orla Mining Stock:
Check out Orla Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Orla Stock, please use our How to Invest in Orla Mining guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
It's important to distinguish between Orla Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orla Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Orla Mining's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.