Centerra Gold Stock Price Prediction

CG Stock  CAD 25.19  0.26  1.04%   
The value of RSI of Centerra Gold's share price is above 70 as of today suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Centerra, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Centerra Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Centerra Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Centerra Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centerra Gold from the perspective of Centerra Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Centerra Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Centerra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Centerra Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 25.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Centerra Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centerra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centerra Gold guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centerra Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5026.9129.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0326.4328.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.2021.8825.57
Details

Centerra Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Centerra Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centerra Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centerra Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Centerra Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Centerra Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centerra Gold's historical news coverage. Centerra Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.78 and 27.60, respectively. We have considered Centerra Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.19
25.19
After-hype Price
27.60
Upside
Centerra Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centerra Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.

Centerra Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centerra Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centerra Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centerra Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84 
2.41
 0.00  
  0.07 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.19
25.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Centerra Gold Hype Timeline

Centerra Gold is currently traded for 25.19on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Centerra is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on Centerra Gold is about 2939.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.12. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Centerra Gold has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 25th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Centerra Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centerra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centerra Gold guide.

Centerra Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Centerra Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centerra Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Centerra Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centerra Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WDOWesdome Gold Mines 0.00 0 per month 2.29  0.12  3.95 (4.21) 14.33 
SEASeabridge Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.35  0.22  5.83 (4.52) 14.93 
FVIFortuna Silver Mines 0.00 0 per month 1.50  0.21  4.66 (2.68) 13.71 
MXMethanex 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.16  3.91 (2.49) 21.67 
KNTK92 Mining 0.00 0 per month 1.43  0.33  4.25 (2.96) 9.36 
PPTAPerpetua Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.49  0.12  7.44 (6.85) 20.41 
AAUCAllied Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.81  0.24  6.26 (4.66) 15.55 
EDREndeavour Silver Corp(0.40)10 per month 2.69  0.19  9.39 (4.52) 17.42 
USAAmericas Silver Corp(0.42)10 per month 3.17  0.27  8.70 (5.74) 18.10 
MAUMontage Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.43  0.33  6.54 (3.13) 13.13 

Centerra Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Centerra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centerra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centerra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Centerra Gold Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Centerra Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Centerra Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Centerra Gold based on analysis of Centerra Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Centerra Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Centerra Gold's related companies.

Pair Trading with Centerra Gold

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Centerra Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Centerra Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Centerra Stock

  0.98AG First Majestic SilverPairCorr
  0.9IE Ivanhoe EnergyPairCorr
  0.79ORE Orezone Gold CorpPairCorr
  0.8FDR Flinders ResourcesPairCorr
  0.89FDY Faraday Copper CorpPairCorr

Moving against Centerra Stock

  0.33INFM Infinico Metals CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Centerra Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Centerra Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Centerra Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Centerra Gold to buy it.
The correlation of Centerra Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Centerra Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Centerra Gold moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Centerra Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Centerra Gold is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Centerra Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Centerra Gold Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Centerra Gold Stock:
Check out Centerra Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centerra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centerra Gold guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Centerra Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Centerra Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Centerra Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.