Ormat Technologies Stock Price Prediction

ORA Stock  USD 80.74  0.66  0.82%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ormat Technologies' the stock price is about 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ormat, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ormat Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ormat Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ormat Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.39)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.54
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9353
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.2523
Wall Street Target Price
86.1429
Using Ormat Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ormat Technologies from the perspective of Ormat Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ormat Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ormat Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ormat. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ormat can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ormat Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ormat Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ormat Technologies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ormat Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ormat because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ormat Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 80.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ormat Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ormat Stock refer to our How to Trade Ormat Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.6784.1985.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.5678.8880.19
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.6387.5097.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.480.53
Details

Ormat Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ormat Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ormat Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ormat Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ormat Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ormat Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ormat Technologies' historical news coverage. Ormat Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.48 and 82.10, respectively. We have considered Ormat Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
80.74
80.79
After-hype Price
82.10
Upside
Ormat Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ormat Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ormat Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ormat Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ormat Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ormat Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.31
  0.05 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
80.74
80.79
0.06 
396.97  
Notes

Ormat Technologies Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Ormat Technologies is traded for 80.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Ormat is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 80.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Ormat Technologies is about 1247.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 829.42 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 124.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 268.82 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Ormat Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ormat Stock refer to our How to Trade Ormat Stock guide.

Ormat Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ormat Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ormat Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Ormat Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ormat Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMPSAltus Power 0.27 9 per month 4.38  0.10  9.97 (8.53) 37.65 
AZREAzure Power Global 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 6.84 (10.05) 26.32 
ENLTEnlight Renewable Energy 0.43 8 per month 3.28 (0.02) 4.64 (5.21) 13.41 
FLNCFluence Energy(1.06)10 per month 3.90  0.08  7.38 (5.61) 24.63 
AYAtlantica Sustainable Infrastructure(0.04)6 per month 0.00 (0.86) 0.23 (0.18) 0.64 
CWEN-AClearway Energy 0.12 8 per month 2.33 (0.04) 2.74 (2.78) 15.50 
BEPCBrookfield Renewable Corp(1.33)9 per month 2.09  0.04  4.00 (2.88) 16.90 
NEPNextera Energy Partners 0.45 10 per month 0.00 (0.20) 3.19 (5.54) 19.99 
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners(0.13)8 per month 1.83  0.01  4.25 (2.89) 15.83 
CWENClearway Energy Class 1.64 9 per month 2.29 (0.05) 2.64 (2.89) 14.79 
RNWRenew Energy Global(0.08)8 per month 2.16 (0.01) 2.99 (3.52) 9.41 
ELLOEllomay Capital 0.00 5 per month 2.23  0.06  6.18 (3.82) 13.80 
EEExcelerate Energy 1.19 10 per month 2.08  0.21  5.86 (3.25) 14.53 
HLGNHeliogen 0.00 0 per month 3.92 (0.01) 7.69 (7.69) 27.05 

Ormat Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ormat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ormat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ormat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ormat Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ormat Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ormat Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ormat Technologies based on analysis of Ormat Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ormat Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ormat Technologies's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0060760.0063090.005126
Price To Sales Ratio6.75.433.49

Story Coverage note for Ormat Technologies

The number of cover stories for Ormat Technologies depends on current market conditions and Ormat Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ormat Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ormat Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ormat Technologies Short Properties

Ormat Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ormat Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ormat Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ormat Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ormat Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.8 M

Complementary Tools for Ormat Stock analysis

When running Ormat Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Ormat Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ormat Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Ormat Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ormat Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ormat Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ormat Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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