Southwest Gas Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| SWX Stock | USD 72.27 0.78 1.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8789 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.5412 | Wall Street Target Price 76.6667 |
Using Southwest Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southwest Gas Holdings from the perspective of Southwest Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Southwest Gas using Southwest Gas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Southwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Southwest Gas' stock price.
Southwest Gas Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Southwest Gas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Southwest Gas Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Southwest Gas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Southwest Gas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Southwest Gas' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Southwest Gas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Southwest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Southwest Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 72.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Southwest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Southwest Gas Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Southwest Gas trading at USD 72.27, that is roughly USD 0.0199 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Southwest Gas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Southwest Gas Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Southwest |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southwest Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southwest Gas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southwest Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southwest Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southwest Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southwest Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southwest Gas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southwest Gas' historical news coverage. Southwest Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.83 and 73.69, respectively. We have considered Southwest Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southwest Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southwest Gas Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southwest Gas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southwest Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southwest Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southwest Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.43 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
72.27 | 72.26 | 0.01 |
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Southwest Gas Hype Timeline
On the 19th of January Southwest Gas Holdings is traded for 72.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Southwest is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 148.96%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Southwest Gas is about 106.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.26. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southwest Gas Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Southwest Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Southwest Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southwest Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southwest Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Southwest Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southwest Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NJR | NewJersey Resources | (0.68) | 11 per month | 1.20 | 0.03 | 2.17 | (1.62) | 7.20 | |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | 0.32 | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0 | 1.86 | (1.65) | 9.06 | |
| NWE | NorthWestern | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.47 | (2.75) | 7.10 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | (2.06) | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.03 | 2.32 | (1.99) | 8.69 | |
| SR | Spire Inc | (3.75) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.06 | 2.57 | (2.63) | 9.26 |
Southwest Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Southwest Gas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Southwest Gas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Southwest Gas Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southwest Gas based on analysis of Southwest Gas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Southwest Gas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Southwest Gas's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0396 | 0.0389 | 0.0448 | 0.0363 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
Story Coverage note for Southwest Gas
The number of cover stories for Southwest Gas depends on current market conditions and Southwest Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southwest Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southwest Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southwest Gas Short Properties
Southwest Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Southwest Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southwest Gas Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southwest Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southwest Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.5 M |
Additional Tools for Southwest Stock Analysis
When running Southwest Gas' price analysis, check to measure Southwest Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southwest Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Southwest Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southwest Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southwest Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southwest Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.