Public Service (Germany) Price Prediction

PEG Stock  EUR 12.90  0.20  1.57%   
The value of RSI of Public Service's the stock price is roughly 62 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Public, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Public Service's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Public Service and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Public Service's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Public Service Enterprise, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Public Service hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Public Service Enterprise from the perspective of Public Service response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Public Service to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Public because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Public Service after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Public Service Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7410.1714.19
Details

Public Service After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Public Service at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Public Service or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Public Service, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Public Service Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Public Service's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Public Service's historical news coverage. Public Service's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.47 and 15.33, respectively. We have considered Public Service's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.90
12.90
After-hype Price
15.33
Upside
Public Service is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Public Service Enterprise is based on 3 months time horizon.

Public Service Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Public Service is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Public Service backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Public Service, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.43
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.90
12.90
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Public Service Hype Timeline

Public Service Enterprise is at this time traded for 12.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Public is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Public Service is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.90. About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Public Service Enterprise recorded a loss per share of 0.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of August 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Public Service Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Public Service Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Public Service's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Public Service's future price movements. Getting to know how Public Service's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Public Service may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Public Service Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Public price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Public using various technical indicators. When you analyze Public charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Public Service Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Public Service stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Public Service Enterprise, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Public Service based on analysis of Public Service hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Public Service's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Public Service's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Public Service

The number of cover stories for Public Service depends on current market conditions and Public Service's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Public Service is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Public Service's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Public Service Short Properties

Public Service's future price predictability will typically decrease when Public Service's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Public Service Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Public Service's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Public Service's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares42.52M

Complementary Tools for Public Stock analysis

When running Public Service's price analysis, check to measure Public Service's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Public Service is operating at the current time. Most of Public Service's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Public Service's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Public Service's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Public Service to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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