Performance Food Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PFGC Stock | USD 87.73 0.71 0.82% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Performance Food Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Performance Food buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PFGC positions.
Check out Performance Food Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Performance and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Performance Food Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Performance |
Execute Performance Food Buy or Sell Advice
The Performance recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Performance Food Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Performance Food Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Performance Food's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Performance Food Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Performance Food is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Examining the Stock Performance of Performance Food Group |
Performance Food Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Performance Food's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Performance Food's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Performance Food daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Performance Food Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Performance Food returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Performance Food.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -1.72 | Potential Upside | 1.73 | Standard Deviation | 1.35 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Performance Food historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Performance Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Eminence Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.5 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Primecap Management Company | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Palestra Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Bain Capital Public Equity Management Ii, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Close Asset Management Limited | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 21.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15.9 M |
Performance Food Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (286.7M) | (582.4M) | 56.9M | 37.7M | 33.9M | 35.6M | |
| Change In Cash | (409.6M) | (3.5M) | 1.3M | 7.7M | 6.9M | 7.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (124.2M) | 61M | 562.4M | 767.4M | 882.5M | 926.6M | |
| Depreciation | 338.9M | 462.8M | 496.7M | 556.7M | 640.2M | 672.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (7.4M) | 140.5M | 83.5M | 87M | 100.1M | 105.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 188.8M | 215.5M | 269.7M | 395.6M | 454.9M | 477.7M | |
| Net Income | 40.7M | 112.5M | 397.2M | 435.9M | 501.3M | 526.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 22.2M | 18.7M | 20M | 27.7M | 31.9M | 49.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.6M | 1.4B | 31.2M | 30.8M | 35.4M | 33.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 246M | 39.2M | 189.3M | 146.9M | 168.9M | 177.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.1B | (164.1M) | 1.6B | (542.9M) | (624.3M) | (593.1M) | |
| Investments | (199.8M) | (1.9B) | (294.6M) | (682.7M) | (614.4M) | (645.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (50.2M) | 189M | (296.5M) | (195.1M) | (175.6M) | (166.8M) |
Performance Food Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Performance Food or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Performance Food's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Performance stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Performance Food Volatility Alert
Performance Food Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.32 and kurtosis of 6.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Performance Food's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Performance Food's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Performance Food Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Performance Food's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Performance Food's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Performance Food and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Performance Food or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Performance Food's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Performance Food by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Performance Food to competition |
| Fundamentals | Performance Food | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0378 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.3 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 155.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.19 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 151.93 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 58.28 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.68 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.38 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 435.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 18.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.98 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.51 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.24 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.16 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.31 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.71 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.67 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 98.65 | |
| Number Of Employees | 40 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.67 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.39 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.3 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.4 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by George Holm of 35436 shares of Performance Food at 19.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Performance Food Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Performance . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Performance Food Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Performance Food Group? Buying financial instruments such as Performance Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Performance Food Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Performance Food. If investors know Performance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Performance Food listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share 2.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Performance Food is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Performance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Performance Food's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Performance Food's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Performance Food's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Performance Food's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Performance Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Performance Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Performance Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.