Cpi Card Group Stock Price Prediction
| PMTS Stock | USD 29.75 1.18 4.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.75 | Wall Street Target Price 35.5 |
Using CPI Card hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CPI Card Group from the perspective of CPI Card response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CPI Card to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CPI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CPI Card after-hype prediction price | USD 29.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CPI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CPI Card's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CPI Card After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CPI Card at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CPI Card or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CPI Card, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CPI Card Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CPI Card's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CPI Card's historical news coverage. CPI Card's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.50 and 33.70, respectively. We have considered CPI Card's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CPI Card is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CPI Card Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
CPI Card Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CPI Card is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CPI Card backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CPI Card, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 4.10 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.75 | 29.60 | 0.50 |
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CPI Card Hype Timeline
CPI Card Group is at this time traded for 29.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. CPI is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on CPI Card is about 603.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.87. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2017. CPI Card Group had 1:5 split on the 20th of December 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out CPI Card Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CPI Card Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CPI Card's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CPI Card's future price movements. Getting to know how CPI Card's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CPI Card may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCFS | FirstCash | (3.94) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.31 | (2.42) | 9.46 | |
| RWAY | Runway Growth Finance | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.98 | (0.08) | 1.42 | (1.45) | 5.04 | |
| CACC | Credit Acceptance | 9.49 | 9 per month | 2.09 | (0.05) | 2.84 | (2.29) | 11.13 | |
| MGI | Moneygram Int | 1.38 | 9 per month | 1.36 | (0.04) | 2.52 | (2.02) | 13.24 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | 0.42 | 8 per month | 1.41 | 0.12 | 3.71 | (2.59) | 15.03 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | (0.83) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.12 | (2.89) | 8.46 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.14 | 0.14 | 3.00 | (2.53) | 7.31 | |
| OPRT | Oportun Financial Corp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.32 | (0) | 7.55 | (5.05) | 16.16 | |
| ATLCP | Atlanticus Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | (0.04) | 1.28 | (0.88) | 2.71 | |
| FINV | FinVolution Group | (0.18) | 6 per month | 2.45 | 0.02 | 3.81 | (4.74) | 13.22 | |
| AGM | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | (0.95) | 11 per month | 1.25 | 0.01 | 2.77 | (2.24) | 12.03 | |
| ENVA | Enova International | 2.79 | 12 per month | 1.67 | 0.11 | 3.13 | (3.16) | 13.01 |
CPI Card Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CPI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CPI using various technical indicators. When you analyze CPI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CPI Card Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CPI Card stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CPI Card Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CPI Card based on analysis of CPI Card hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CPI Card's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CPI Card's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 8.84 | 12.31 | 23.02 | 24.17 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 90.6 | 83.22 | 87.43 | 91.81 |
Story Coverage note for CPI Card
The number of cover stories for CPI Card depends on current market conditions and CPI Card's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CPI Card is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CPI Card's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CPI Card Short Properties
CPI Card's future price predictability will typically decrease when CPI Card's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CPI Card Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CPI Card's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CPI Card's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.4 M |
Additional Tools for CPI Stock Analysis
When running CPI Card's price analysis, check to measure CPI Card's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CPI Card is operating at the current time. Most of CPI Card's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CPI Card's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CPI Card's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CPI Card to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.