MODIVCARE INC (Germany) Price Prediction
| PRF0 Stock | EUR 17.50 0.40 2.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MODIVCARE INC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MODIVCARE INC DL 001 from the perspective of MODIVCARE INC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MODIVCARE INC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MODIVCARE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MODIVCARE INC after-hype prediction price | EUR 17.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MODIVCARE |
MODIVCARE INC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MODIVCARE INC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MODIVCARE INC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MODIVCARE INC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MODIVCARE INC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MODIVCARE INC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MODIVCARE INC's historical news coverage. MODIVCARE INC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.01 and 22.99, respectively. We have considered MODIVCARE INC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MODIVCARE INC is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MODIVCARE INC DL is based on 3 months time horizon.
MODIVCARE INC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MODIVCARE INC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MODIVCARE INC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MODIVCARE INC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 5.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.50 | 17.50 | 0.00 |
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MODIVCARE INC Hype Timeline
MODIVCARE INC DL is at this time traded for 17.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MODIVCARE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.89%. %. The volatility of related hype on MODIVCARE INC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.50. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.71. MODIVCARE INC DL had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 1st of February 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out MODIVCARE INC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MODIVCARE INC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MODIVCARE INC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MODIVCARE INC's future price movements. Getting to know how MODIVCARE INC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MODIVCARE INC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 12P | PennantPark Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.0006 | 2.80 | (2.39) | 10.56 | |
| CDE | Coeur Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.06) | 2.20 | (2.16) | 6.05 | |
| GM6 | GALENA MINING LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZSL | SLR Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.08 | 2.65 | (1.30) | 6.48 | |
| CUG | Chuangs China Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | |
| VIP | Virtus Investment Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.15 | 4.50 | (2.04) | 11.31 | |
| 55O1 | Apollo Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.04 | 1.72 | (1.03) | 4.20 |
MODIVCARE INC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MODIVCARE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MODIVCARE using various technical indicators. When you analyze MODIVCARE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MODIVCARE INC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MODIVCARE INC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MODIVCARE INC DL 001, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MODIVCARE INC based on analysis of MODIVCARE INC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MODIVCARE INC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MODIVCARE INC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MODIVCARE INC
The number of cover stories for MODIVCARE INC depends on current market conditions and MODIVCARE INC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MODIVCARE INC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MODIVCARE INC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for MODIVCARE Stock analysis
When running MODIVCARE INC's price analysis, check to measure MODIVCARE INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MODIVCARE INC is operating at the current time. Most of MODIVCARE INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MODIVCARE INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MODIVCARE INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MODIVCARE INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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