Quantum Stock Price Patterns

QMCO Stock  USD 6.79  0.19  2.72%   
As of today, the value of RSI of Quantum's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Quantum, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Quantum's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Quantum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Quantum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quantum from the perspective of Quantum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Quantum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Quantum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Quantum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Quantum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Quantum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Quantum guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quantum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.146.0310.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.276.1611.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.437.258.07
Details

Quantum After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Quantum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quantum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Quantum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Quantum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Quantum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quantum's historical news coverage. Quantum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.90 and 11.68, respectively. We have considered Quantum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.79
6.79
After-hype Price
11.68
Upside
Quantum is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quantum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Quantum Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Quantum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quantum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quantum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
4.89
  0.01 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.79
6.79
0.00 
16,300  
Notes

Quantum Hype Timeline

Quantum is at this time traded for 6.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Quantum is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Quantum is about 22227.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.78. The company recorded a loss per share of 20.07. Quantum last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2017. The entity had 1:20 split on the 27th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Quantum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Quantum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Quantum guide.

Quantum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Quantum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quantum's future price movements. Getting to know how Quantum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quantum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Quantum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Quantum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quantum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quantum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Quantum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Quantum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Quantum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Quantum based on analysis of Quantum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Quantum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Quantum's related companies.

Pair Trading with Quantum

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Quantum position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Quantum will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Quantum Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Quantum could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Quantum when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Quantum - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Quantum to buy it.
The correlation of Quantum is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Quantum moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Quantum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Quantum can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Quantum offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Quantum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Quantum Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Quantum Stock:
Check out Quantum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Quantum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Quantum guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Quantum diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quantum. Anticipated expansion of Quantum directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Quantum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Quantum requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Quantum's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Quantum's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Quantum's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Quantum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Quantum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Quantum's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.