Ribbon Communications Stock Price Prediction

RBBN Stock  USD 3.86  0.04  1.03%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ribbon Communications' share price is above 70 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Ribbon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ribbon Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ribbon Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ribbon Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.218
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.292
Wall Street Target Price
5.8
Using Ribbon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ribbon Communications from the perspective of Ribbon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ribbon Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ribbon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ribbon Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ribbon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ribbon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ribbon Communications guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.984.867.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.693.576.45
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ribbon Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ribbon Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ribbon Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ribbon Communications.

Ribbon Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ribbon Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ribbon Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ribbon Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ribbon Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ribbon Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ribbon Communications' historical news coverage. Ribbon Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.99 and 6.75, respectively. We have considered Ribbon Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.86
3.87
After-hype Price
6.75
Upside
Ribbon Communications is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ribbon Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ribbon Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ribbon Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ribbon Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ribbon Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.88
  0.01 
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.86
3.87
0.26 
14,400  
Notes

Ribbon Communications Hype Timeline

Ribbon Communications is at this time traded for 3.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Ribbon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Ribbon Communications is about 2376.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.89. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 826.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 432.48 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Ribbon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ribbon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ribbon Communications guide.

Ribbon Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ribbon Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ribbon Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Ribbon Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ribbon Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ATNIATN International(1.98)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.14 (4.87) 31.68 
LBRDALiberty Broadband Srs(0.72)9 per month 1.49  0.12  4.70 (3.19) 33.07 
RADIRadius Global Infrastructure 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.88) 0.27 (0.14) 0.61 
CABOCable One 8.17 10 per month 2.34  0.09  4.42 (4.54) 18.76 
CNSLConsolidated Communications 0.03 11 per month 0.18 (0.38) 0.44 (0.43) 1.74 
RDCMRadcom 0.06 10 per month 3.12  0.07  5.40 (5.38) 19.90 
SHENShenandoah Telecommunications Co(2.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.32 (3.94) 25.16 
ATEXAnterix(0.28)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.31 (4.08) 12.42 
SKMSK Telecom Co(0.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.11 (1.71) 5.94 
LBRDKLiberty Broadband Srs(0.14)8 per month 1.51  0.12  4.96 (3.20) 30.97 
KOREKORE Group Holdings 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 8.02 (8.04) 26.66 
CCOICogent Communications Group(0.93)10 per month 1.38  0.07  2.95 (2.59) 7.77 
KTKT Corporation 0.05 10 per month 1.62  0.05  3.58 (2.09) 11.99 
OOMAOoma Inc 0.30 9 per month 1.56  0.20  4.26 (2.88) 31.87 
LBRDPLiberty Broadband Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.55 (0.1) 1.18 (1.07) 3.58 
TLKTelkom Indonesia Tbk(0.1)3 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.61 (3.19) 7.40 
LBTYALiberty Global PLC(0.11)11 per month 0.80  0.17  4.03 (1.94) 13.27 

Ribbon Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ribbon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ribbon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ribbon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ribbon Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ribbon Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ribbon Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ribbon Communications based on analysis of Ribbon Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ribbon Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ribbon Communications's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Graham Number9.826.834.58
Receivables Turnover2.993.075.69

Story Coverage note for Ribbon Communications

The number of cover stories for Ribbon Communications depends on current market conditions and Ribbon Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ribbon Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ribbon Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ribbon Communications Short Properties

Ribbon Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ribbon Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ribbon Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ribbon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ribbon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding170.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.6 M
When determining whether Ribbon Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ribbon Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ribbon Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ribbon Communications Stock:
Check out Ribbon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ribbon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ribbon Communications guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ribbon Communications. If investors know Ribbon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ribbon Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Earnings Share
(0.31)
Revenue Per Share
4.672
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0072
The market value of Ribbon Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ribbon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ribbon Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ribbon Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ribbon Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ribbon Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ribbon Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ribbon Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ribbon Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.