REA (Australia) Price Patterns
| REA Stock | 158.09 9.08 5.43% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.7923 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5574 | Wall Street Target Price 212.0867 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Using REA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of REA Group from the perspective of REA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in REA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying REA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
REA after-hype prediction price | AUD 158.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
REA |
REA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of REA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in REA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of REA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
REA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting REA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on REA's historical news coverage. REA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.90 and 160.30, respectively. We have considered REA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
REA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of REA Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
REA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as REA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading REA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with REA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
158.09 | 158.10 | 0.01 |
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REA Hype Timeline
REA Group is at this time traded for 158.09on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. REA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 158.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on REA is about 7135.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.10. The company reported the revenue of 1.93 B. Net Income was 677.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.23 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out REA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.REA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to REA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict REA's future price movements. Getting to know how REA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how REA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WHI | Whitefield Income | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.20 | (0.02) | 2.22 | (2.16) | 9.56 | |
| AKP | Audio Pixels Holdings | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGL | Riversgold | (0.11) | 14 per month | 6.63 | 0.14 | 22.22 | (14.29) | 46.25 | |
| IOD | Iodm | (0.01) | 3 per month | 2.46 | 0.05 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 14.84 | |
| ELS | Elsight | 0.29 | 3 per month | 4.82 | 0.26 | 9.30 | (7.19) | 33.69 | |
| PKD | Parkd | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (9.09) | 24.33 |
REA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine REA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for REA using various technical indicators. When you analyze REA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About REA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of REA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as REA Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of REA based on analysis of REA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to REA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to REA's related companies.
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Additional Tools for REA Stock Analysis
When running REA's price analysis, check to measure REA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REA is operating at the current time. Most of REA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.