Rf Industries Stock Price Prediction
| RFIL Stock | USD 10.50 0.37 3.65% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.47 | Wall Street Target Price 10.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.09 |
Using RF Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RF Industries from the perspective of RF Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RF Industries using RF Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RFIL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RF Industries' stock price.
RF Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long RF Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RF Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge RF Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.4722 | Short Percent 0.0156 | Short Ratio 0.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 44.4 K | 50 Day MA 6.8038 |
RF Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to RF Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RFIL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RFIL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RF Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RF Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RF Industries.
RF Industries Implied Volatility | 1.45 |
RF Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RF Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RF Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RF Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when RF Industries' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RF Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RFIL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RF Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 8.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RFIL contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RF Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0906% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With RF Industries trading at USD 10.5, that is roughly USD 0.009516 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating RF Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring RF Industries options at the current volatility level of 1.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. RF Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RF Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RF Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RF Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RF Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RF Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RF Industries' historical news coverage. RF Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.88 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered RF Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RF Industries is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RF Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
RF Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RF Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RF Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RF Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 5.02 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.50 | 8.90 | 12.14 |
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RF Industries Hype Timeline
RF Industries is at this time traded for 10.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. RFIL is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -12.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on RF Industries is about 2345.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.38. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of RF Industries was at this time reported as 3.29. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2020. RF Industries had 2:1 split on the 11th of March 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RF Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RF Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RF Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how RF Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RF Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBAT | CBAK Energy Technology | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.13 | (3.33) | 7.92 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.02) | 14 per month | 6.48 | 0.07 | 22.81 | (8.82) | 36.47 | |
| DFLI | Chardan NexTech Acquisition | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 13.98 | (17.43) | 58.61 | |
| SUGP | SU Group Holdings | (0.43) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 17.52 | (9.68) | 43.26 | |
| FTEK | Fuel Tech | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 6.45 | (6.98) | 19.15 | |
| MHH | Mastech Holdings | (0.08) | 8 per month | 3.75 | (0.01) | 6.83 | (5.59) | 19.87 | |
| RYM | RYTHM Inc | (1.58) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.94 | (15.38) | 63.12 | |
| XCH | XCHG Limited American | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.76 | (8.50) | 32.99 | |
| JLHL | Julong Holding Limited | 0.19 | 3 per month | 7.37 | 0.07 | 9.17 | (11.95) | 32.35 | |
| SHIM | Shimmick Common | (0.25) | 7 per month | 3.99 | 0.12 | 12.69 | (6.83) | 26.47 |
RF Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RFIL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RFIL using various technical indicators. When you analyze RFIL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RF Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RF Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RF Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RF Industries based on analysis of RF Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RF Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RF Industries's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.19 | 1.28 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy RFIL Stock please use our How to buy in RFIL Stock guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RF Industries. Anticipated expansion of RFIL directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive RF Industries assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | Earnings Share 0.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.229 | Return On Assets |
RF Industries's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on RFIL's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate RF Industries' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since RF Industries' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between RF Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding RF Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, RF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.