First Bank Stock Price Patterns

FRBA Stock  USD 17.11  0.12  0.71%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of First Bank's share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Bank, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.194
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.46
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.93
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.08
Wall Street Target Price
19.75
Using First Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Bank from the perspective of First Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Bank using First Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Bank's stock price.

First Bank Implied Volatility

    
  1.0  
First Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Bank's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With First Bank trading at USD 17.11, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Bank options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out First Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5518.2619.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2316.9518.66
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.9719.7521.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.460.480.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Bank.

First Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bank's historical news coverage. First Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.39 and 18.81, respectively. We have considered First Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.11
17.10
After-hype Price
18.81
Upside
First Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.71
  0.01 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.11
17.10
0.06 
2,138  
Notes

First Bank Hype Timeline

First Bank is currently traded for 17.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on First Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.11. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Bank last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out First Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

First Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how First Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTYBThe Victory Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  2.61 (0.93) 5.26 
MFBPMF Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.10 (0) 3.04 (2.34) 7.54 
FMFPFirst Community Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  5.13 (2.12) 12.41 
ANDCAndover Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.02 (0.03) 2.16 (2.63) 8.35 
ALBYCommunity Capital Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.85 (0.86) 4.47 
WDFNWoodlands Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.67  0.08  3.70 (1.85) 9.15 
HCBNHCB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 1.05  0.00  3.26 
EXCHExchange Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.14  0.00  17.10 
TMAKTouchmark Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 3.08  0.01  6.99 (7.23) 16.08 
OAKVOak View National 0.00 0 per month 1.60 (0.02) 2.58 (2.52) 7.56 

First Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bank based on analysis of First Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Bank's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01650.01710.01460.0102
Price To Sales Ratio1.861.541.662.66

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Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Bank's price analysis, check to measure First Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bank is operating at the current time. Most of First Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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