SUPER GROUP (Germany) Price Prediction

S8G1 Stock  EUR 1.23  0.04  3.15%   
The value of RSI of SUPER GROUP's the stock price is roughly 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SUPER, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SUPER GROUP's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SUPER GROUP and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SUPER GROUP's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SUPER GROUP LTD, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SUPER GROUP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SUPER GROUP LTD from the perspective of SUPER GROUP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SUPER GROUP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SUPER because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SUPER GROUP after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 1.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SUPER GROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.9212.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.4112.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.121.191.25
Details

SUPER GROUP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SUPER GROUP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SUPER GROUP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SUPER GROUP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SUPER GROUP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SUPER GROUP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SUPER GROUP's historical news coverage. SUPER GROUP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 12.72, respectively. We have considered SUPER GROUP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.23
1.23
After-hype Price
12.72
Upside
SUPER GROUP is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SUPER GROUP LTD is based on 3 months time horizon.

SUPER GROUP Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SUPER GROUP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SUPER GROUP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SUPER GROUP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.32 
11.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.23
1.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SUPER GROUP Hype Timeline

SUPER GROUP LTD is at this time traded for 1.23on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SUPER is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on SUPER GROUP is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.23. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out SUPER GROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SUPER GROUP Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SUPER GROUP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SUPER GROUP's future price movements. Getting to know how SUPER GROUP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SUPER GROUP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SUPER GROUP Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SUPER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SUPER using various technical indicators. When you analyze SUPER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SUPER GROUP Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SUPER GROUP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SUPER GROUP LTD, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SUPER GROUP based on analysis of SUPER GROUP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SUPER GROUP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SUPER GROUP's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SUPER GROUP

The number of cover stories for SUPER GROUP depends on current market conditions and SUPER GROUP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SUPER GROUP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SUPER GROUP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for SUPER Stock analysis

When running SUPER GROUP's price analysis, check to measure SUPER GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SUPER GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of SUPER GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SUPER GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SUPER GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SUPER GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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