Sanmina Stock Price Prediction

SANM Stock  USD 79.52  1.94  2.50%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sanmina's share price is above 70 as of now. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sanmina, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

79

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sanmina's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sanmina and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sanmina's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sanmina, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sanmina's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.05
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.44
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.23
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.1
Wall Street Target Price
70.3333
Using Sanmina hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sanmina from the perspective of Sanmina response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Sanmina Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sanmina's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sanmina. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sanmina can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sanmina. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sanmina's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sanmina.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sanmina to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sanmina because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sanmina after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 79.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sanmina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sanmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5793.8396.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.6971.9074.11
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.0777.0085.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.331.511.38
Details

Sanmina After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sanmina at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sanmina or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sanmina, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sanmina Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sanmina's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sanmina's historical news coverage. Sanmina's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.31 and 81.73, respectively. We have considered Sanmina's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
79.52
79.52
After-hype Price
81.73
Upside
Sanmina is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sanmina is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sanmina Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sanmina is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sanmina backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sanmina, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.21
  1.64 
  0.28 
7 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.52
79.52
0.00 
32.36  
Notes

Sanmina Hype Timeline

Sanmina is at this time traded for 79.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Sanmina is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 32.36%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sanmina is about 189.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.80. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sanmina has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:6 split on the 17th of August 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Sanmina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sanmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.

Sanmina Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sanmina's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sanmina's future price movements. Getting to know how Sanmina's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sanmina may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BHEBenchmark Electronics(0.59)8 per month 1.79  0.05  3.32 (3.84) 13.28 
MEIMethode Electronics 0.22 11 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.58 (5.53) 18.54 
OSISOSI Systems(0.95)13 per month 1.76  0.05  3.86 (2.91) 12.11 
CLSCelestica 3.54 10 per month 2.73  0.20  5.42 (4.03) 20.61 
PLXSPlexus Corp(3.32)9 per month 1.21  0.13  3.38 (1.91) 12.92 
FLEXFlex 1.26 10 per month 1.66  0.11  5.67 (2.91) 10.62 
CTSCTS Corporation 1.44 10 per month 1.65  0.03  3.28 (2.79) 15.09 
BELFABel Fuse A 0.04 9 per month 1.45  0.02  2.71 (2.61) 17.70 
JBLJabil Circuit(0.46)11 per month 1.24  0.09  2.80 (2.04) 15.06 
FNFabrinet 12.43 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.68 (6.81) 16.19 
APHAmphenol(0.78)10 per month 1.94  0.02  2.78 (2.49) 9.18 

Sanmina Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sanmina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sanmina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sanmina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sanmina Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sanmina stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sanmina, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sanmina based on analysis of Sanmina hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sanmina's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sanmina's related companies.
 2016 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding74.6968.4983.0347.59
PTB Ratio1.521.351.611.53

Story Coverage note for Sanmina

The number of cover stories for Sanmina depends on current market conditions and Sanmina's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sanmina is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sanmina's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sanmina Short Properties

Sanmina's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sanmina's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sanmina often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sanmina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanmina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57 M
Cash And Short Term Investments625.9 M
When determining whether Sanmina is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sanmina's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sanmina's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sanmina Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sanmina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sanmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sanmina. If investors know Sanmina will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sanmina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.05
Earnings Share
3.91
Revenue Per Share
136.141
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0451
The market value of Sanmina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sanmina that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sanmina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sanmina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sanmina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sanmina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sanmina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sanmina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sanmina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.