SBM Offshore (Netherlands) Price Prediction
| SBMO Stock | EUR 18.02 0.52 2.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SBM Offshore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBM Offshore NV from the perspective of SBM Offshore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SBM Offshore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SBM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SBM Offshore after-hype prediction price | EUR 18.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SBM |
SBM Offshore After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SBM Offshore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBM Offshore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBM Offshore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SBM Offshore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SBM Offshore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBM Offshore's historical news coverage. SBM Offshore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.75 and 19.29, respectively. We have considered SBM Offshore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SBM Offshore is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBM Offshore NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
SBM Offshore Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SBM Offshore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBM Offshore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBM Offshore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.02 | 18.02 | 0.00 |
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SBM Offshore Hype Timeline
SBM Offshore NV is at this time traded for 18.02on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SBM is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on SBM Offshore is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.02. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SBM Offshore NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2022. The firm had 4:1 split on the 2nd of June 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out SBM Offshore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SBM Offshore Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SBM Offshore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBM Offshore's future price movements. Getting to know how SBM Offshore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBM Offshore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VPK | Koninklijke Vopak NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.04 | 2.22 | (2.05) | 6.15 | |
| RAND | Randstad NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.27 | (2.47) | 9.80 | |
| AALB | Aalberts Industries NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.91 | (1.99) | 9.89 | |
| IUHE | iShares SP 500 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.72 | (1.09) | 3.78 | |
| IAPD | iShares Asia Pacific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.06 | 1.53 | (1.12) | 3.79 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola Europacific Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 1.83 | (1.76) | 5.01 | |
| CSPX | iShares Core SP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.08 | 1.18 | (1.16) | 5.42 | |
| VUSA | Vanguard SP 500 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | 0.08 | 1.18 | (1.20) | 5.49 | |
| ECMPA | Eurocommercial Properties NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.45 | (1.58) | 4.53 |
SBM Offshore Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SBM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBM using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SBM Offshore Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SBM Offshore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SBM Offshore NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SBM Offshore based on analysis of SBM Offshore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SBM Offshore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SBM Offshore's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SBM Offshore
The number of cover stories for SBM Offshore depends on current market conditions and SBM Offshore's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBM Offshore is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBM Offshore's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SBM Offshore Short Properties
SBM Offshore's future price predictability will typically decrease when SBM Offshore's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBM Offshore NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBM Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBM Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.7 M |
Additional Tools for SBM Stock Analysis
When running SBM Offshore's price analysis, check to measure SBM Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SBM Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of SBM Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SBM Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SBM Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SBM Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.