Jm Smucker Stock Price Prediction
| SJM Stock | USD 113.42 0.47 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.6 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.18 | Wall Street Target Price 123.7431 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.17 |
Using JM Smucker hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JM Smucker from the perspective of JM Smucker response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
JM Smucker Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to JM Smucker's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SJM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SJM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JM Smucker. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JM Smucker's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JM Smucker.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JM Smucker to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SJM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JM Smucker after-hype prediction price | USD 113.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SJM |
JM Smucker After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JM Smucker at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JM Smucker or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JM Smucker, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JM Smucker Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JM Smucker's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JM Smucker's historical news coverage. JM Smucker's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.55 and 115.23, respectively. We have considered JM Smucker's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JM Smucker is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JM Smucker is based on 3 months time horizon.
JM Smucker Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JM Smucker is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JM Smucker backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JM Smucker, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.34 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
113.42 | 113.89 | 0.00 |
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JM Smucker Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November JM Smucker is traded for 113.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. SJM is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 46.69%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on JM Smucker is about 152.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.35. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. JM Smucker has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. JM Smucker had 0.945:1 split on the 3rd of June 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out JM Smucker Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JM Smucker Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JM Smucker's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JM Smucker's future price movements. Getting to know how JM Smucker's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JM Smucker may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAG | ConAgra Foods | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.71 | (2.67) | 10.38 | |
| K | Kellanova | (0.40) | 9 per month | 0.09 | (0.47) | 0.37 | (0.35) | 0.93 | |
| GIS | General Mills | (0.77) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.30 | (2.17) | 4.70 | |
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.65 | (2.70) | 8.25 | |
| CPB | Campbell Soup | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.46 | (2.42) | 7.11 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | (0.82) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.47 | (1.43) | 4.93 | |
| KHC | Kraft Heinz Co | (0.68) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.23 | (1.80) | 4.71 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | (4.35) | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.13 | 2.57 | (2.18) | 16.32 |
JM Smucker Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SJM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SJM using various technical indicators. When you analyze SJM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JM Smucker Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JM Smucker stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JM Smucker, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JM Smucker based on analysis of JM Smucker hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JM Smucker's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JM Smucker's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0283 | 0.0258 | 0.0366 | 0.0341 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.85 | 1.96 | 1.46 | 1.09 |
Story Coverage note for JM Smucker
The number of cover stories for JM Smucker depends on current market conditions and JM Smucker's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JM Smucker is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JM Smucker's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JM Smucker Short Properties
JM Smucker's future price predictability will typically decrease when JM Smucker's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JM Smucker often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JM Smucker's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JM Smucker's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62 M |
Check out JM Smucker Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.26 | Earnings Share 7.08 | Revenue Per Share 80.881 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.177 |
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SJM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JM Smucker is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.