Sol Gel Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| SLGL Stock | USD 1.65 1.22 283.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.47) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.05) |
Using Sol Gel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sol Gel Technologies from the perspective of Sol Gel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sol Gel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sol Gel after-hype prediction price | USD 1.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sol |
Sol Gel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sol Gel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sol Gel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sol Gel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sol Gel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sol Gel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sol Gel's historical news coverage. Sol Gel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 37.84, respectively. We have considered Sol Gel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sol Gel is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sol Gel Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sol Gel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sol Gel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sol Gel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sol Gel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.82 | 36.15 | 0.04 | 2.88 | 2 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.65 | 1.69 | 2.42 |
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Sol Gel Hype Timeline
Sol Gel Technologies is at this time traded for 1.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.88. Sol is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 2.42%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 3.82%. The volatility of related hype on Sol Gel is about 4800.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.23. Sol Gel Technologies currently holds 1.65 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Sol Gel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sol Gel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sol Gel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sol Gel's future price movements. Getting to know how Sol Gel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sol Gel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PMVP | Pmv Pharmaceuticals | 0.03 | 3 per month | 2.14 | (0.0008) | 4.35 | (4.57) | 13.98 | |
| ELYM | Eliem Therapeutics | 0.25 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.00 | (9.35) | 22.16 | |
| MNOV | MediciNova | 0.08 | 9 per month | 3.74 | 0.04 | 9.57 | (6.44) | 61.30 | |
| PHVS | Pharvaris BV | 0.04 | 3 per month | 3.80 | (0) | 6.79 | (6.64) | 23.21 | |
| PEPG | PepGen | (1.52) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.70 | (9.30) | 29.46 | |
| AVTE | Aerovate Therapeutics | (0.33) | 3 per month | 1.87 | 0.13 | 5.58 | (3.31) | 19.11 | |
| ADAG | Adagene | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.34 | (8.33) | 41.45 | |
| ACRV | Acrivon Therapeutics, Common | (0.60) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.83 | (7.21) | 19.02 | |
| RZLT | Rezolute | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.54 | (5.71) | 16.29 | |
| ANTX | AN2 Therapeutics | 0.08 | 11 per month | 2.20 | 0.10 | 8.94 | (4.72) | 28.89 | |
| MLYS | Mineralys Therapeutics, Common | 0.02 | 11 per month | 3.55 | 0.05 | 7.51 | (5.79) | 20.98 | |
| ANEB | Anebulo Pharmaceuticals | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.59 | (11.48) | 28.49 | |
| JANX | Janux Therapeutics | (7.31) | 7 per month | 3.12 | 0.05 | 6.87 | (5.14) | 56.50 |
Sol Gel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sol Gel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sol Gel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sol Gel Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sol Gel based on analysis of Sol Gel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sol Gel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sol Gel's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 50.53 | 152.86 | 160.51 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.9E-5 | 2.6E-5 | 1.5E-5 |
Story Coverage note for Sol Gel
The number of cover stories for Sol Gel depends on current market conditions and Sol Gel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sol Gel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sol Gel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sol Gel Short Properties
Sol Gel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sol Gel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sol Gel Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sol Gel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sol Gel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38 M |
Check out Sol Gel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sol Gel. If investors know Sol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sol Gel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.34) | Revenue Per Share 0.235 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 8.146 | Return On Assets (0.22) | Return On Equity (0.36) |
The market value of Sol Gel Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sol Gel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sol Gel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sol Gel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sol Gel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sol Gel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sol Gel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sol Gel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.