China Petroleum Chemical Stock Price Prediction
| SNPMF Stock | USD 0.50 0.04 7.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Petroleum Chemical from the perspective of China Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Petroleum to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Petroleum after-hype prediction price | USD 0.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Petroleum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Petroleum's historical news coverage. China Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 9.21, respectively. We have considered China Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Petroleum is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Petroleum Chemical is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Petroleum Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 8.71 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
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China Petroleum Hype Timeline
China Petroleum Chemical is at this time traded for 0.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.11. China is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Petroleum is about 4073.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.39. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. China Petroleum Chemical has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. The firm had 13:10 split on the 10th of June 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out China Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how China Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BPAQF | BP plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.71 | (3.78) | 10.81 | |
| RYDAF | Shell PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.17 | (3.73) | 12.44 | |
| OGFGY | Origin Energy Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.33 | (0.47) | 10.42 | |
| STOHF | Equinor ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.94 | (5.50) | 13.17 | |
| TTFNF | TotalEnergies SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.70 | (3.52) | 9.21 | |
| GLPEY | Galp Energa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 1.54 | (2.74) | 7.62 | |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp | (1.09) | 6 per month | 1.20 | 0.01 | 2.14 | (2.09) | 5.78 | |
| PCCYF | PetroChina Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.58 | (7.89) | 20.98 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | (0.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.30 | (4.50) | 8.46 | |
| TTE | TotalEnergies SE ADR | (0.87) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.62 | (2.57) | 7.40 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | (0.20) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.46 | (3.86) | 8.46 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.01 | 2.82 | (1.75) | 8.65 | |
| TGS | Transportadora de Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.23 | 6.42 | (3.08) | 12.65 |
China Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Petroleum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Petroleum Chemical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Petroleum based on analysis of China Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Petroleum's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Petroleum
The number of cover stories for China Petroleum depends on current market conditions and China Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Petroleum Short Properties
China Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Petroleum Chemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.1 B |
Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure China Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of China Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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