Sparebank (Norway) Price Prediction
| SOAG Stock | NOK 389.00 1.00 0.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sparebank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sparebank 1 Ostfold from the perspective of Sparebank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sparebank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sparebank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sparebank after-hype prediction price | NOK 389.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sparebank |
Sparebank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sparebank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sparebank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sparebank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sparebank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sparebank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sparebank's historical news coverage. Sparebank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 387.59 and 390.41, respectively. We have considered Sparebank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sparebank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sparebank 1 Ostfold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sparebank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sparebank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sparebank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sparebank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
389.00 | 389.00 | 0.00 |
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Sparebank Hype Timeline
Sparebank 1 Ostfold is at this time traded for 389.00on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sparebank is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sparebank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 389.00. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sparebank 1 Ostfold recorded earning per share (EPS) of 29.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2022. The firm had 143:136 split on the 21st of May 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Sparebank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sparebank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sparebank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sparebank's future price movements. Getting to know how Sparebank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sparebank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NONG | Sparebank 1 Nord Norge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | (0.02) | 1.49 | (1.34) | 4.23 | |
| MING | Sparebank 1 SMN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | (0.06) | 1.43 | (1.65) | 4.39 | |
| SVEG | Sparebanken Vest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.53 | (1.35) | 6.38 | |
| MORG | Sparebanken Mre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.04 | 2.20 | (1.67) | 5.27 | |
| RING | Sparebank 1 Ringerike | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.04) | 1.39 | (1.33) | 4.48 |
Sparebank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sparebank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sparebank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sparebank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sparebank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sparebank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sparebank 1 Ostfold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sparebank based on analysis of Sparebank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sparebank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sparebank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Sparebank
The number of cover stories for Sparebank depends on current market conditions and Sparebank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sparebank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sparebank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sparebank Short Properties
Sparebank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sparebank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sparebank 1 Ostfold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sparebank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sparebank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94 M |
Other Information on Investing in Sparebank Stock
Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparebank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparebank with respect to the benefits of owning Sparebank security.