Simon Property Group Stock Price Prediction
| SPG Stock | USD 174.14 1.43 0.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.85 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.7354 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.4893 | Wall Street Target Price 186.5833 |
Using Simon Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Simon Property Group from the perspective of Simon Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Simon Property using Simon Property's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Simon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Simon Property's stock price.
Simon Property Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Simon Property's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simon Property Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simon Property's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simon Property stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simon Property's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Simon Property to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Simon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Simon Property after-hype prediction price | USD 174.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Simon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Simon Property Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Simon Property trading at USD 174.14, that is roughly USD 0.0327 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Simon Property's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Simon Property Group options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Simon |
Simon Property After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Simon Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Simon Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Simon Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Simon Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Simon Property's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Simon Property's historical news coverage. Simon Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 173.00 and 175.40, respectively. We have considered Simon Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Simon Property is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Simon Property Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Simon Property Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Simon Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simon Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Simon Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.19 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
174.14 | 174.20 | 0.03 |
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Simon Property Hype Timeline
On the 18th of January 2025 Simon Property Group is traded for 174.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Simon is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 174.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 58.91%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Simon Property is about 1722.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 174.14. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.66 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.28 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.88 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Simon Property Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Simon Property Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Simon Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Simon Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Simon Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Simon Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.49 | (2.78) | 5.92 | |
| ADC | Agree Realty | (0.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.81 | (1.69) | 6.57 | |
| NNN | National Retail Properties | 0.23 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.63 | (2.50) | 6.53 | |
| KIM | Kimco Realty | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.78 | (1.96) | 6.79 | |
| O | Realty Income | (0.66) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.00 | (2.00) | 5.16 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.23 | (1.92) | 7.41 | |
| REG | Regency Centers | (0.1) | 6 per month | 1.09 | 0 | 1.44 | (1.88) | 4.58 | |
| NTST | Netstreit Corp | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.31 | (2.09) | 9.66 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.15 | (0.02) | 2.21 | (1.62) | 5.80 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.33 | (1.90) | 6.21 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.93 | (2.19) | 6.55 |
Simon Property Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Simon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Simon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Simon Property Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Simon Property stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Simon Property Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simon Property based on analysis of Simon Property hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Simon Property's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Simon Property's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0588 | 0.0522 | 0.0601 | 0.0691 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.28 | 8.25 | 7.42 | 4.73 |
Story Coverage note for Simon Property
The number of cover stories for Simon Property depends on current market conditions and Simon Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Simon Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Simon Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Simon Property Short Properties
Simon Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Simon Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Simon Property Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Simon Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simon Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 326.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Simon Stock analysis
When running Simon Property's price analysis, check to measure Simon Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simon Property is operating at the current time. Most of Simon Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simon Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simon Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simon Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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