Simon Property Valuation

SPG Stock  USD 196.83  5.40  2.82%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Simon Property Group has a current Real Value of $216.73 per share. The regular price of the company is $196.83. Our model measures the value of Simon Property Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 325.22 M, operating margin of 0.50 %, and Return On Equity of 1.04 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Simon Property's valuation include:
Price Book
12.0472
Enterprise Value
90.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.6215
Price Sales
11.678
Forward PE
30.6748
Undervalued
Today
196.83
Please note that Simon Property's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Simon Property Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Simon Property's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Simon stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Simon Property Group. Since Simon Property is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Simon Stock. However, Simon Property's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  196.83 Real  216.73 Target  201.2 Hype  196.77
The real value of Simon Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Simon Property Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Simon Property's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Simon Property's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
177.15
Downside
216.73
Real Value
217.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Simon Property Group helps investors to forecast how Simon stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Simon Property more accurately as focusing exclusively on Simon Property's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.341.571.80
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.69196.77197.85
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
183.09201.20223.33
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Simon Property Group, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Simon Property Cash

916.07 Million

Simon Property Total Value Analysis

Simon Property Group is at this time projected to have company total value of 90.66 B with market capitalization of 74.24 B, debt of 29.94 B, and cash on hands of 823.15 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Simon Property fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
90.66 B
74.24 B
29.94 B
823.15 M

Simon Property Investor Information

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.17. Simon Property Group last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. The entity had 1063:1000 split on the 29th of May 2014. Based on the key measurements obtained from Simon Property's financial statements, Simon Property Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.650.4989
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.6 B4.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.9 B3.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Simon Property Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Simon Property has an asset utilization ratio of 15.67 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.16 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Simon Property Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Simon Property Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Simon Property's financial statements, Simon Property Group is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Simon Property's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1993-03-31
Previous Quarter
594.4 M
Current Value
B
Quarterly Volatility
327.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Simon Property's Net Profit Margin is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Simon Property's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.91, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to roughly 3.4 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.910.8572
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.760.7251
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.650.4989
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.890.8484
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.120.1137
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.930.8861
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Simon Property profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Simon Property Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Simon Property utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Simon Property's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Simon Property over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Simon Property Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Simon Property is estimated to be 1.57 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.34 to a high of 1.8. Simon Property's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 14.17. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Simon Property Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Simon Property is projected to generate 1.57 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Simon Property earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Simon Property EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Simon Property's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Simon Property, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Simon Property Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Simon Property's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Simon Property is estimated to be 1.57 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.34 to a high of 1.8. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Simon Property Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.04
1.34
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.57
1.80
Highest

Simon Property Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Simon Property's value are higher than the current market price of the Simon Property stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Simon Property is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Simon Property's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2181.23%
1.04
1.57
14.17

Simon Property Ownership Allocation

Simon Property Group shows a total of 325.22 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Simon Property Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Simon Property to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Simon Property Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Simon Property Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on September 5, 2025, Representative William R Keating of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Simon Property Group's common stock.

Simon Property Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.36 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.63 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.21 B.

Simon Property Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Simon Property's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Simon Property and how it compares across the competition.

About Simon Property Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Simon Property's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Simon Property. We calculate exposure to Simon Property's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Simon Property's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.5 B3.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.85  0.89 
Operating Profit Margin 0.50  0.65 
Net Profit Margin 0.73  0.76 
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.91 
Simon Property's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Simon Property's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Simon Property can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Simon Property represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Simon, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Simon Property Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Simon Property's current Dividend Yield is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Dividends Paid is forecasted to increase to (2.9 B). . At this time, Simon Property's Price Earnings Ratio is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Simon Property's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.14, while Retained Earnings are forecasted to increase to (4.4 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-3 B-2.9 B
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.07 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.60  0.57 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.01  0.82 
There are various types of dividends Simon Property can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Simon shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Simon Property Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Simon pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Simon Property by the value of the dividends paid out.

Simon Property Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Simon Property does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding326 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.581
Forward Price Earnings30.6748

Simon Property Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Simon Property Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Simon we look at many different elements of the entity such as Simon's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Simon Property, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Simon Property's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Simon Property's worth.

Complementary Tools for Simon Stock analysis

When running Simon Property's price analysis, check to measure Simon Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simon Property is operating at the current time. Most of Simon Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simon Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simon Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simon Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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