Swiss Re (Germany) Price Prediction

SR9A Stock  EUR 34.20  0.20  0.59%   
The value of RSI of Swiss Re's stock price is roughly 67. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Swiss, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Swiss Re's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Swiss Re and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Swiss Re's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Swiss Re AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Swiss Re hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swiss Re AG from the perspective of Swiss Re response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Swiss Re to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Swiss because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Swiss Re after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 34.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Swiss Re Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2328.1837.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.8533.8035.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.3934.5635.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swiss Re. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swiss Re's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swiss Re's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swiss Re AG.

Swiss Re After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Swiss Re at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swiss Re or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Swiss Re, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Swiss Re Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Swiss Re's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swiss Re's historical news coverage. Swiss Re's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.25 and 36.15, respectively. We have considered Swiss Re's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.20
34.20
After-hype Price
36.15
Upside
Swiss Re is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swiss Re AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Swiss Re Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swiss Re is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swiss Re backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swiss Re, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.95
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.20
34.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Swiss Re Hype Timeline

Swiss Re AG is at this time traded for 34.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Swiss is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Swiss Re is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.20. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Swiss Re AG has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2022. The firm had 4:1 split on the 16th of June 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Swiss Re Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Swiss Re Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Swiss Re's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swiss Re's future price movements. Getting to know how Swiss Re's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swiss Re may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Swiss Re Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Swiss price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swiss using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swiss charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Swiss Re Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Swiss Re stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Swiss Re AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swiss Re based on analysis of Swiss Re hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Swiss Re's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Swiss Re's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Swiss Re

The number of cover stories for Swiss Re depends on current market conditions and Swiss Re's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swiss Re is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swiss Re's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Swiss Re Short Properties

Swiss Re's future price predictability will typically decrease when Swiss Re's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Swiss Re AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Swiss Re's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Re's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289 M

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When running Swiss Re's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Re's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Re is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Re's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Re's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Re's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Re to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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